Russia’s largest state-owned bank has received approval from the central bank and is about to launch crypto trading services. For positive news like licensing and regulatory compliance, there’s a common playbook: prices often spike and then pull back on the day the news is announced. The real direction becomes clear only after 24 to 48 hours of volume confirmation—if volume expands and price breaks above the announcement-day high, the trend is underway; if price retests on lower volume and holds above the previous low, treat it as a shakeout.

BTC is currently at 83,610, down slightly by 0.2% over 24 hours, digesting the news and trading in a narrow range. Following this playbook, use the current price as the midpoint and set a range of roughly 2% either way: a decisive break above 85,300 would suggest buyers are responding to the positive news; a break below 81,900 on expanding volume would suggest the news has been fully priced in. Wait for selling to ease on lower volume, then watch how price and volume interact.

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