$ETH
September CPI drops tonight
Crude oil, Treasury bonds, and the dollar are all waiting for this shot
Will the market get blown away?
Guys,
September CPI is coming out again tonight at 9
What direction will it take?
First, a quick explanation of CPI
Simply put, it measures inflation
It’s also the Fed’s key reference point for interest rates
If the figure comes in higher than expected,
rate-hike expectations will rise
If it comes in lower than expected,
rate-cut expectations will rise
Global markets are all watching this number right now
It may look like just an inflation indicator,
but Fed rate expectations, the dollar, Treasury bonds, and even crypto markets will all react to it
Right now, the market expects
overall U.S. CPI in September to rise to around 3.6%–3.7% year over year
Core CPI is expected to stay near 2.5%
The biggest wild card
is energy prices
Why does crude oil matter so much?
Because oil prices are a real pain
When they rise,
it’s not just that filling up costs a bit more
They also drive up the cost of goods,
filtering through transportation and production costs, layer by layer
Recent increases in energy prices
have become a major reason the market fears inflation could pick up again
Put simply,
if CPI is high,
rate-cut expectations will keep falling
Treasury yields will keep rising
That’s bearish for crypto
If CPI is relatively low,
inflationary pressure will be lighter
and rate-cut expectations will strengthen
That’s bullish for crypto
I have a feeling the inflation data won’t look too good
It may come in higher than expected
For crypto,
the liquidity backdrop,
Treasury bonds, and oil prices
could each bring huge volatility
So, guys,
keep your hands off the button today
Don’t rush into a trade
One wick tonight could liquidate you 😂😂
#9月cpi来袭原油美债走势如何
September CPI drops tonight
Crude oil, Treasury bonds, and the dollar are all waiting for this shot
Will the market get blown away?
Guys,
September CPI is coming out again tonight at 9
What direction will it take?
First, a quick explanation of CPI
Simply put, it measures inflation
It’s also the Fed’s key reference point for interest rates
If the figure comes in higher than expected,
rate-hike expectations will rise
If it comes in lower than expected,
rate-cut expectations will rise
Global markets are all watching this number right now
It may look like just an inflation indicator,
but Fed rate expectations, the dollar, Treasury bonds, and even crypto markets will all react to it
Right now, the market expects
overall U.S. CPI in September to rise to around 3.6%–3.7% year over year
Core CPI is expected to stay near 2.5%
The biggest wild card
is energy prices
Why does crude oil matter so much?
Because oil prices are a real pain
When they rise,
it’s not just that filling up costs a bit more
They also drive up the cost of goods,
filtering through transportation and production costs, layer by layer
Recent increases in energy prices
have become a major reason the market fears inflation could pick up again
Put simply,
if CPI is high,
rate-cut expectations will keep falling
Treasury yields will keep rising
That’s bearish for crypto
If CPI is relatively low,
inflationary pressure will be lighter
and rate-cut expectations will strengthen
That’s bullish for crypto
I have a feeling the inflation data won’t look too good
It may come in higher than expected
For crypto,
the liquidity backdrop,
Treasury bonds, and oil prices
could each bring huge volatility
So, guys,
keep your hands off the button today
Don’t rush into a trade
One wick tonight could liquidate you 😂😂
#9月cpi来袭原油美债走势如何