【Think an 80% drop means it's hit bottom? You're fooling yourself】

A lot of people see SUI down nearly 80% from its highs, and one word automatically pops into their heads: cheap.

That kind of thinking can be deadly.

Let me do the math for you—it’s still down 7.7% over the past 7 days, and now it’s at $1.06. Doesn’t seem like much of a drop, right? But that’s only compared with its historical decline. As for the short-term direction? Nobody knows.

My take: this isn’t the time to go long or short. It’s a time to “wait and see.”

The $1.10–$1.15 range above is short-term resistance. It’s been struggling to break through for days, which shows sellers are still firmly in place. What about below? $1.00 is a psychological level, and there’s support further down around $0.95–$0.98, but I’m not sure it’ll hold.

The worst part about markets like this isn’t losing money—it’s the waiting. You’re stuck in the middle, unsure whether to add or cut your position. Being neither up nor down is the most agonizing.

Here’s something concrete: DATA Network is migrating to SUI, and the foundation has invested $30 million. That’s no small amount—it shows that someone is putting real money into building. But how many actual users will the migration bring? Can the ecosystem handle that wave of traffic? There are no answers in the short term. In a bull market, news like this could send prices soaring. But now? At best, it’ll prop up sentiment for a bit—not enough to trigger a collapse.

FNG62—not euphoric, not fearful. Everyone’s waiting. Waiting for what? A surge in volume, a clear direction.

As for me, I’m sitting on the sidelines, watching. I’m itching to trade, but I’ve held back. I’ll admit it—I’ve got such a tiny position right now that I just stare blankly at the charts.

What about you? If you’re still holding SUI, how are you feeling? Are you willing to make a move this time?