October is always crazy in crypto and is nicknamed “Uptober,” but October 2026 is different. Bitcoin climbed back above 84,000$ (+4.82%) after breaking through the 83k resistance, while we also saw some unbelievable numbers: RLC +175.92% and STRK +109.26% in just one week, according to official TRIV data. The question is: is this just speculation, or the beginning of altcoin season?
1. What’s happening in the market right now?
According to the October 11 update, the market is in a Selective Rally—meaning Bitcoin is steady at +0.16% and Ethereum is at -0.07%, but all the action is in smaller altcoins, with 53 of 90 coins in the green. This is a classic sign of the beginning of Altseason.
Another reason: XRP whales are withdrawing huge amounts from Binance—the highest withdrawal level in 7 months, according to CryptoQuant. This is usually a sign of accumulation before a rally.
2. The 3 most important events to watch before you buy:
A. The Federal Reserve decision on October 28: This is the most important event of the month. The Fed meeting and interest rate decision are on October 28. The whole market is waiting for it. If interest rates are cut, liquidity will surge and crypto could explode.
B. CPI inflation data on October 14: Inflation is what determines the Fed’s decision. The official calendar lists CPI on the 14th and PPI on the 15th.
C. Token unlocks this week: Be careful! There are major unlocks this week, from October 12–18:
• Cronos (CRO): $72.6 million on October 17 (2.35% of the supply) • Pump.fun (PUMP): $41.3 million • Arbitrum (ARB), Starknet (STRK), and others
Token unlocks create selling pressure, so if you hold these coins, be careful.
1. What’s happening in the market right now?
According to the October 11 update, the market is in a Selective Rally—meaning Bitcoin is steady at +0.16% and Ethereum is at -0.07%, but all the action is in smaller altcoins, with 53 of 90 coins in the green. This is a classic sign of the beginning of Altseason.
Another reason: XRP whales are withdrawing huge amounts from Binance—the highest withdrawal level in 7 months, according to CryptoQuant. This is usually a sign of accumulation before a rally.
2. The 3 most important events to watch before you buy:
A. The Federal Reserve decision on October 28: This is the most important event of the month. The Fed meeting and interest rate decision are on October 28. The whole market is waiting for it. If interest rates are cut, liquidity will surge and crypto could explode.
B. CPI inflation data on October 14: Inflation is what determines the Fed’s decision. The official calendar lists CPI on the 14th and PPI on the 15th.
C. Token unlocks this week: Be careful! There are major unlocks this week, from October 12–18:
• Cronos (CRO): $72.6 million on October 17 (2.35% of the supply) • Pump.fun (PUMP): $41.3 million • Arbitrum (ARB), Starknet (STRK), and others
Token unlocks create selling pressure, so if you hold these coins, be careful.