U.S. stocks have just opened, and everyone’s eyes are fixed on the Strait of Hormuz.

At least 10 supertankers turned back offshore from Fujairah to avoid attacks, and tanker rates surged to $1.4 million a day—shipowners are grinning, while traders are losing sleep. Brent crude is hovering above $106, and the IMF has laid out a stress scenario: if the conflict drags on into next year, oil could hit $130 and global growth could be cut by 0.5 percentage points.

In the short term, $BTC is still taking its cues from tech stocks. European chip stocks fell 3%–4.5% today. But if oil prices fully ignite inflation expectations, the inflation-hedge narrative could have a lot more to say. A slew of Fed officials are speaking tonight, so keep an eye on how they spin the inflation story.

Two on-chain signals look concerning: SkyAI admitted to dumping $SOL , with unrealized losses topping $160 million, and it hasn’t ruled out selling more; an early PUMP wallet moved 1.458 billion unlocked tokens into Coinbase Prime. The selling pressure is real—don’t pretend you can’t see it.

The good news: Binance co-CEO Richard Teng floated the idea of opening up stock trading in places like Hong Kong and South Korea. The $BNB ecosystem story isn’t over yet.

Don’t get carried away in this market. Managing your position size matters more than guessing the direction.

$BTC $SOL $BNB
#比特币 #Solana #地缘政治 #油价 #Cryptocurrency

NFA DYOR