Sister Biying’s Evening Strategy (Breakdown and Downtrend: Follow the Trend and Short Rallies)
Overall market: After a sharp drop this morning, Bitcoin and major coins are currently in a volatile recovery phase following oversold conditions. On the 4-hour chart, the SAR indicator remains above the candlesticks, creating strong resistance (bearish alignment). The MACD lines show signs of a bullish crossover below the zero line, but the histogram is weak—typical of either a continuation pattern in a downtrend or a volatile bottoming process. The moving averages above price (MA5/MA10) are acting as short-term resistance, and the bullish structure has yet to fully recover.
Trading approach: Primarily short, with longs as a secondary strategy. Follow the broader bearish trend and short rallies decisively when they meet resistance. Consider longs only with small positions at key prior lows (such as BTC near 81000), and only if a long lower wick or a bottom fractal appears, in an attempt to trade an oversold bounce. Strictly control position size, always use stop-losses, and never hold losing positions.
BTC trading recommendations
✅ Test a long: If price retests 81500–82000 and stabilizes, cautiously try a long (trading a bounce off prior-low support). Stop-loss below 80800; take profit at 83000 and 84000.
⚠️ Short-term short: Short a rally into 84000–84300 if it meets resistance (resistance from a support-turned-resistance level). Stop-loss above 84800; take profit at 82500 and 81500.
ETH trading recommendations
✅ Test a long: If price retests 2420–2450 and stabilizes, cautiously try a long (trading a bounce at a psychological round-number level). Stop-loss below 2380; take profit at 2500 and 2550.
⚠️ Short-term short: Short a rally into 2550–2570 if it meets resistance. Stop-loss above 2610; take profit at 2470 and 2430.
⚠️ Risk warning: The market is currently in a panic phase following a sharp breakdown. During the U.S. evening session (after 21:30), sudden price wicks that trigger stop-losses are especially likely. Longs are countertrend bottom-fishing and carry very high risk, so keep positions small and use firm stop-losses. If a short position is followed by a sharp drop, do not chase the move—wait for a weak rebound before entering. #比特币恐慌
💡 Trading tips
1. The trend has turned bearish: The previous “oversold rebound and recovery” outlook has been invalidated. The MACD bearish crossover with expanding histogram bars indicates that selling momentum is still being released. Don’t blindly take large positions while bottom-fishing; beware of a continuation in the downtrend.
2. Watch the BTC 81000 level: This is the last psychological line of defense above BTC’s previous low (80344). If BTC breaks below 81000 on high volume tonight, it will likely test 80000 or even lower. At that point, all long positions must be stopped out without exception.
3. Get in and out quickly: If you go long at support, treat it strictly as a short-term trade and take profits promptly (for example, consider reducing or closing the position if BTC rebounds to around 82000–82500). Don’t count on a V-shaped reversal.
Overall market: After a sharp drop this morning, Bitcoin and major coins are currently in a volatile recovery phase following oversold conditions. On the 4-hour chart, the SAR indicator remains above the candlesticks, creating strong resistance (bearish alignment). The MACD lines show signs of a bullish crossover below the zero line, but the histogram is weak—typical of either a continuation pattern in a downtrend or a volatile bottoming process. The moving averages above price (MA5/MA10) are acting as short-term resistance, and the bullish structure has yet to fully recover.
Trading approach: Primarily short, with longs as a secondary strategy. Follow the broader bearish trend and short rallies decisively when they meet resistance. Consider longs only with small positions at key prior lows (such as BTC near 81000), and only if a long lower wick or a bottom fractal appears, in an attempt to trade an oversold bounce. Strictly control position size, always use stop-losses, and never hold losing positions.
BTC trading recommendations
✅ Test a long: If price retests 81500–82000 and stabilizes, cautiously try a long (trading a bounce off prior-low support). Stop-loss below 80800; take profit at 83000 and 84000.
⚠️ Short-term short: Short a rally into 84000–84300 if it meets resistance (resistance from a support-turned-resistance level). Stop-loss above 84800; take profit at 82500 and 81500.
ETH trading recommendations
✅ Test a long: If price retests 2420–2450 and stabilizes, cautiously try a long (trading a bounce at a psychological round-number level). Stop-loss below 2380; take profit at 2500 and 2550.
⚠️ Short-term short: Short a rally into 2550–2570 if it meets resistance. Stop-loss above 2610; take profit at 2470 and 2430.
⚠️ Risk warning: The market is currently in a panic phase following a sharp breakdown. During the U.S. evening session (after 21:30), sudden price wicks that trigger stop-losses are especially likely. Longs are countertrend bottom-fishing and carry very high risk, so keep positions small and use firm stop-losses. If a short position is followed by a sharp drop, do not chase the move—wait for a weak rebound before entering. #比特币恐慌
💡 Trading tips
1. The trend has turned bearish: The previous “oversold rebound and recovery” outlook has been invalidated. The MACD bearish crossover with expanding histogram bars indicates that selling momentum is still being released. Don’t blindly take large positions while bottom-fishing; beware of a continuation in the downtrend.
2. Watch the BTC 81000 level: This is the last psychological line of defense above BTC’s previous low (80344). If BTC breaks below 81000 on high volume tonight, it will likely test 80000 or even lower. At that point, all long positions must be stopped out without exception.
3. Get in and out quickly: If you go long at support, treat it strictly as a short-term trade and take profits promptly (for example, consider reducing or closing the position if BTC rebounds to around 82000–82500). Don’t count on a V-shaped reversal.