【Market cycles aren’t a countdown】
Accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown are a framework for understanding market behavior—not a script that plays out on schedule. Even within the same phase, sharp rallies or pullbacks can occur.
Halvings change the rate of new Bitcoin supply, but they don’t guarantee a price rise after a fixed period; liquidity, demand, and leverage matter too.
Look for price structure, trading volume, and funding conditions to confirm one another. Avoid judging that “a bull market is inevitable” based solely on a historical chart. Use cycles to prepare for different scenarios, not to promise returns. #MarketCycles
Accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown are a framework for understanding market behavior—not a script that plays out on schedule. Even within the same phase, sharp rallies or pullbacks can occur.
Halvings change the rate of new Bitcoin supply, but they don’t guarantee a price rise after a fixed period; liquidity, demand, and leverage matter too.
Look for price structure, trading volume, and funding conditions to confirm one another. Avoid judging that “a bull market is inevitable” based solely on a historical chart. Use cycles to prepare for different scenarios, not to promise returns. #MarketCycles