The Nasdaq and BTC—there’s an interesting correlation today.

Let’s go through the U.S. stock numbers first, then decide whether crypto is following.

For technical levels, I’m using today’s high and low—not forcing old support levels onto the chart.

S&P 500 7,807 (5-day +0.43%, Yahoo)
Dow 51,851 (5-day +1.14%, Yahoo)

BTC 24h high 84352 / low 81034, current price 83407. The Nasdaq is down 0.84% over 5 days, lagging the S&P 500 at +0.43%—growth stocks are falling behind. Chasing AI coins right now means buying the beta that U.S. stocks have already started dumping.

ETH is down 2.13% over 24h, weaker than BTC at -1.00%; exchange rate 0.03015. Funds are rotating into BTC, so I’d stay on the sidelines with altcoins for now.

There’s only one thing to watch in crypto: can BTC close above its 24h high of 84352? If it can’t, talk of following the rally is just hot air.

My position: I only buy pullbacks; I don’t chase breakouts. If the structure holds, I can keep a core position. Any additions have to wait for a pullback level.

Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance USDⓈ-M / Yahoo daily (5-day change) / altme_fng / mempool_fees / defillama_chains / coingecko_trending. Missing numbers are left blank.
Would you place an order at a pullback level, or wait for the candle to close?

#美股 #技术面 #BTC

Useful note: The dot plot shows each official’s individual projection; it is not the decision of the next meeting.
Inspiration: The 10-year yield is ticking up: valuation narratives take a back seat; for spot, I’m only keeping pullback levels.

Data card (same update as the main text; missing values are shown as dashes):
BTC 83,407 -1.00% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,515 -2.13% ETH/BTC 0.03015
S&P 500 7,807 +0.43% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 27,246 -0.84% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 102 +0.29% DXY 5-day
VIX 15.21 +1.33% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0048% Open interest 7.78B (24h -1.27) Long/short 1.4242 Binance USDⓈ-M

For context: people are discussing “\"bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks\" - Google News.” I’m treating it only as background; my conclusions are still based on the numbers in the main text.

Personal opinion; figures are from the sources listed in the main text. This is not an instruction to trade.

$BTC $ETH $SOL