October 13, 08:40
The 4h flag on $TIA has broken down. Price fell below the lower boundary of the consolidation range at 0.53, confirming a bearish flag breakdown, with a risk-reward ratio of 1:3.31. Entry reference: 0.5304; stop-loss: 0.61; TP1: 0.4316; TP2: 0.2668.
The setup began with the high-volume bullish candle on October 11, which surged from 0.5 to 0.635, briefly moving above the 0.61 stop-loss level. Over the following two days, price formed a flag top between 0.55 and 0.60. The last three 4h candles have been consecutive high-volume declines, and volume on the breakdown has been reasonably supportive.
Two things to watch. First, aggressive buying still accounted for 54.3% on the breakout candle, so bulls are still putting up resistance above. A retest around 0.55 after the breakdown is quite possible. Second, the flag’s upper boundary is just above the 0.61 stop-loss. If a 4h candle closes back above 0.55 and holds there, the pattern is invalidated and this trade is no longer valid.
Position sizing: The stop-loss distance is 15%. With 100U of capital and 1% risk, the notional position is only about 12.6U. Add-on entry reference: 0.5418; total risk remains unchanged.
Not financial advice.
#山寨币 #空头 #加密货币 #行情分析 #RiskControl
The 4h flag on $TIA has broken down. Price fell below the lower boundary of the consolidation range at 0.53, confirming a bearish flag breakdown, with a risk-reward ratio of 1:3.31. Entry reference: 0.5304; stop-loss: 0.61; TP1: 0.4316; TP2: 0.2668.
The setup began with the high-volume bullish candle on October 11, which surged from 0.5 to 0.635, briefly moving above the 0.61 stop-loss level. Over the following two days, price formed a flag top between 0.55 and 0.60. The last three 4h candles have been consecutive high-volume declines, and volume on the breakdown has been reasonably supportive.
Two things to watch. First, aggressive buying still accounted for 54.3% on the breakout candle, so bulls are still putting up resistance above. A retest around 0.55 after the breakdown is quite possible. Second, the flag’s upper boundary is just above the 0.61 stop-loss. If a 4h candle closes back above 0.55 and holds there, the pattern is invalidated and this trade is no longer valid.
Position sizing: The stop-loss distance is 15%. With 100U of capital and 1% risk, the notional position is only about 12.6U. Add-on entry reference: 0.5418; total risk remains unchanged.
Not financial advice.
#山寨币 #空头 #加密货币 #行情分析 #RiskControl