⚡ Breakout $SEI · SHORT confirmed by a closed 5m candle at the 0.0691 level.
close 0.0665 / level 0.0691 · volume 1.89× / benchmark 1.25×
📉 SHORT · $SEI (SEI/USDT) · downside scenario · 15m context, 15m indicators, 5m trigger
📉 Event: A confirmed 15m candle close below structural support; the 5m retest has not yet occurred.
📊 MARKET
💵 Price: $0.06648 · 1h -2.65% · 24h -3.76%.
💧 For 1h: volume $897,609.3351 · trades 14 770.
📊 M5 activity: volume $32,470.2021 · trades 552 · activity score 52/100.
📚 Order book ±1%: depth $438,053.8694 · spread 0.02%.
🛡️ DATA CHECK AND MARKET TYPE
✅ Data audit: passed · 5m passed · 15m passed.
✅ Market quality: passed.
🛡️ Risk assessment: BLOCKED · required checks not passed · candle, volume, and level context are not aligned; price is at support ❗
🏷️ Context: Spot · analytical hypothesis about a possible sale of an asset already held in the Spot portfolio; no short position is opened.
🧭 TECHNICAL PICTURE
🧭 Trigger state: the breakout event was published separately; retest is needed to confirm the setup.
📉 Structural breakdown to the downside confirmed.
🔎 Trigger check:
↩️ EMA50 retest: no ❗
🕯️ 5m close with downward rejection: no ❗
💧 Volume relative to median: no data · filter not passed ❗
💰 Close: $0.06647.
🔵 Trigger level: $0.06908123.
🕯️ 5m candle context: ⚠️ No suitable bearish zone for candle check · reason: · No confirmed zone of this direction. ❗
📉 SHORT context: price below EMA50 and VWAP (15m).
📐 Price below EMA 21 of the selected context.
📊 Indicators of the selected context:
〽️ EMA 21: $0.06841349 · price below
〽️ EMA 50: $0.06908123 · price below
〽️ EMA 200: $0.06903093 · price below
⚖️ VWAP: $0.06923594 · price below
🌡️ RSI 14: 19.7
🧱 STRUCTURE AND PD ARRAY
🗓️ Higher timeframe filter 1D: bearish structure · supports short context · major swing levels: support $0.06674 · resistance $0.072. D1 sets the context, but does not cancel the 15m zone and 5m trigger.
📐 Dealing Range 24h: $0.06623–$0.07154 · EQ $0.068885 · price in Discount · source: closed 15m candles over 24h.
🧱 No verified OB/BB/PD Array found in the required half of the range ❗
💎 For SHORT, Premium zones are considered (upper half of the range); Discount alone does not strengthen the sell scenario. ❗
⚠️ Scenario BLOCKED: candle, volume, and level context are not aligned; price is at support; potential profit is below the minimum reward/risk. Publication is subject to separate operator confirmation; the system did not approve the scenario.
🧭 Pilot Fibonacci SHORT model · 15m: there is impulse; waiting for two closed countertrend candles.
📐 Down impulse: $0.06901 → $0.06623 · structure break; body 4.60× median · volume 5.92× median.
↩️ Waiting for at least two consecutive closed countertrend candles; working zone 38.2–61.8%: $0.06729196–$0.06794804.
🧪 This is a separate observational model: it does not change the auto-publishing filters yet; probability has not been calculated.
🎯 OBSERVATION PLAN
🔻 SHORT entry: 5m close below $0.06908123 · awaiting confirmation.
🛑 SHORT stop/cancel: 5m close above $0.0692.
🎯 TP1 SHORT · 1R: $0.067185.
🏁 TP2 SHORT · 2R: $0.06884369 · theoretical level.
⚠️ Premium zone not found; these levels are a technical fallback, not an OB/BB or supply zone.
🔵 Confirmation: wait for a retest of EMA50 15m ($0.06908123) and a 5m close below it with volume confirmation.
🛑 Cancel: 5m close above the confirmed swing high $0.0692.
🧪 STATISTICS
📈 Confirmed down impulses over 24h: 4 impulses.
🎲 Probability: numerical percentage not calculated — retest outcomes have not yet been accumulated and verified ❗
⚠️ Analytical draft, not a trading recommendation and not an order to trade. Check the levels against the chart and consider your own risk ❗
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