$197K for Bitcoin by 2030. Sounds ambitious, but this figure is mathematically justified. 👀
If you plot the five biggest crashes of $BTC —from 2011 to June 2026—and mark their lows on a logarithmic scale, they fit a rising curve surprisingly well. According to this model, the target for April 2030 is $197K per $BTC (range: $141K to $275K).
Bitcoin keeps getting more expensive with each cycle, but every rally is less dramatic than the last. Once, gains of thousands of percent were a reality. Now the market is much bigger, and repeating those kinds of moves is much harder.
So this line may show not so much Bitcoin’s future price as how Bitcoin itself is changing: the asset is maturing, and its cycles are evolving.
But there’s a catch. The model has just five data points. Sure, they fit neatly on one line. But that doesn’t mean the next bottom will necessarily be above it. The market isn’t obliged to respect our math. So I’d treat $197K not as a guaranteed “floor,” but as one possible long-term benchmark.
#UkrainianContent
If you plot the five biggest crashes of $BTC —from 2011 to June 2026—and mark their lows on a logarithmic scale, they fit a rising curve surprisingly well. According to this model, the target for April 2030 is $197K per $BTC (range: $141K to $275K).
Bitcoin keeps getting more expensive with each cycle, but every rally is less dramatic than the last. Once, gains of thousands of percent were a reality. Now the market is much bigger, and repeating those kinds of moves is much harder.
So this line may show not so much Bitcoin’s future price as how Bitcoin itself is changing: the asset is maturing, and its cycles are evolving.
But there’s a catch. The model has just five data points. Sure, they fit neatly on one line. But that doesn’t mean the next bottom will necessarily be above it. The market isn’t obliged to respect our math. So I’d treat $197K not as a guaranteed “floor,” but as one possible long-term benchmark.
#UkrainianContent