#比特币期权波动率创五年新低
Whoa! $BTC options volatility has fallen to a five-year low! I actually think Bitcoin could be about to make a massive surge! 🚀
Guys, there’s a Bitcoin data point that’s really worth watching lately.
According to 10x Research, the implied volatility of near-term BTC options has fallen to 33.5%, its lowest level in nearly five years—and it’s even more than 4 percentage points below realized volatility!
The market generally thinks Bitcoin won’t make any major moves right now, and even options have gotten cheaper.
But I actually think this is exactly the kind of market that can erupt all of a sudden.
Now let’s take a look at Binance futures data.
BTC is hovering around $83,500. The price doesn’t seem to be doing much, but open interest in 24-hour futures has risen from $7.73 billion to $7.87 billion!
The price is moving sideways, while open interest has increased by $140 million. That suggests the market is building up new positions.
Even more interesting, the long-to-short account ratio is 1.37, the top traders’ long-to-short position ratio is 1.54, and the funding rate remains slightly positive.
These figures don’t prove that prices will definitely rise next, but they do at least show that the market hasn’t completely lost interest in going long.
There have also been large purchases of put options around $78,000 and $80,000 recently.
I’m more inclined to interpret this as some investors buying downside protection in advance, rather than everyone preparing to turn bearish and exit.
So my view right now is crystal clear: I’m still bullish on BTC! 🔥
The key short-term level to watch is $84,340, the high from the previous 24-hour trading period.
First target: break above $84,340!
Second target: $85,000!
Third target: make another run at $87,000!
Especially now, options are pricing in low volatility, while futures open interest continues to rise.
If spot buying pushes BTC above resistance, short covering could further accelerate the rally.
👇 Click the link below to go straight there!
$BTC
$ETH
#比特币 #BTC #比特币期权波动率创五年新低
Whoa! $BTC options volatility has fallen to a five-year low! I actually think Bitcoin could be about to make a massive surge! 🚀
Guys, there’s a Bitcoin data point that’s really worth watching lately.
According to 10x Research, the implied volatility of near-term BTC options has fallen to 33.5%, its lowest level in nearly five years—and it’s even more than 4 percentage points below realized volatility!
The market generally thinks Bitcoin won’t make any major moves right now, and even options have gotten cheaper.
But I actually think this is exactly the kind of market that can erupt all of a sudden.
Now let’s take a look at Binance futures data.
BTC is hovering around $83,500. The price doesn’t seem to be doing much, but open interest in 24-hour futures has risen from $7.73 billion to $7.87 billion!
The price is moving sideways, while open interest has increased by $140 million. That suggests the market is building up new positions.
Even more interesting, the long-to-short account ratio is 1.37, the top traders’ long-to-short position ratio is 1.54, and the funding rate remains slightly positive.
These figures don’t prove that prices will definitely rise next, but they do at least show that the market hasn’t completely lost interest in going long.
There have also been large purchases of put options around $78,000 and $80,000 recently.
I’m more inclined to interpret this as some investors buying downside protection in advance, rather than everyone preparing to turn bearish and exit.
So my view right now is crystal clear: I’m still bullish on BTC! 🔥
The key short-term level to watch is $84,340, the high from the previous 24-hour trading period.
First target: break above $84,340!
Second target: $85,000!
Third target: make another run at $87,000!
Especially now, options are pricing in low volatility, while futures open interest continues to rise.
If spot buying pushes BTC above resistance, short covering could further accelerate the rally.
👇 Click the link below to go straight there!
$BTC
$ETH
#比特币 #BTC #比特币期权波动率创五年新低