My 14th pivot hits next week.
I've been tracking this date since $BTC first crossed 100K about a year and a half ago. The pivot has held consistently, and right now we're building into it with a more bearish narrative.
If that bearish setup continues into the date, I'm watching for an inverse move back up — same pattern we've seen in the last 3 instances. Bearish narrative → bullish reversal.
For continuation higher, I'd actually prefer to see price consolidate around these lows before pushing after the 14th. If we rip aggressively into the date, I'm more cautious — that could set up the inverse move back down instead. The pivot works both ways.
This is a systematic date-based framework, not a guess. The setup matters more than the direction. Wait for the pivot, read the price action, then trade the inverse or the continuation based on how we arrive.
No edge before the date. No trade without the setup. This is how you build a process that funds the long game.
I've been tracking this date since $BTC first crossed 100K about a year and a half ago. The pivot has held consistently, and right now we're building into it with a more bearish narrative.
If that bearish setup continues into the date, I'm watching for an inverse move back up — same pattern we've seen in the last 3 instances. Bearish narrative → bullish reversal.
For continuation higher, I'd actually prefer to see price consolidate around these lows before pushing after the 14th. If we rip aggressively into the date, I'm more cautious — that could set up the inverse move back down instead. The pivot works both ways.
This is a systematic date-based framework, not a guess. The setup matters more than the direction. Wait for the pivot, read the price action, then trade the inverse or the continuation based on how we arrive.
No edge before the date. No trade without the setup. This is how you build a process that funds the long game.