The conditions set this morning for $BTC and $ETH were: “same direction, with a slight difference in magnitude,” and check whether “the difference in their percentage changes exceeds 0.3 percentage points”; if not, keep the condition, and if it does, record a divergence in magnitude.
At 2026-10-11 22:40:01 Beijing time, based on rolling 24-hour USDT quotes using the same methodology, $BTC rose 0.121% and $ETH fell 0.226%. Their directions have diverged, and the difference between their percentage changes is 0.347 percentage points. The condition has changed; it is neither still valid nor a case of insufficient evidence.
One additional note this time: the changes in both assets were small, but their positions within the range differed markedly.
BTC: position within range 73.46%
ETH: position within range 42.43%
Next time, don’t just wait for the difference to fall back within 0.3; first check whether they have returned to moving in the same direction, then see whether the difference in magnitude has returned to this morning’s threshold. When checking your work, write the signs and the difference in percentage changes on the same line.
At 2026-10-11 22:40:01 Beijing time, based on rolling 24-hour USDT quotes using the same methodology, $BTC rose 0.121% and $ETH fell 0.226%. Their directions have diverged, and the difference between their percentage changes is 0.347 percentage points. The condition has changed; it is neither still valid nor a case of insufficient evidence.
One additional note this time: the changes in both assets were small, but their positions within the range differed markedly.
BTC: position within range 73.46%
ETH: position within range 42.43%
Next time, don’t just wait for the difference to fall back within 0.3; first check whether they have returned to moving in the same direction, then see whether the difference in magnitude has returned to this morning’s threshold. When checking your work, write the signs and the difference in percentage changes on the same line.