At this point, I’m not chasing longs on BTC.
The 15-minute structure has turned stronger, and the 4-hour MACD is also showing signs of recovery, suggesting the short-term rebound is still underway.
But the problem is that resistance around 83,400–83,600 is very clear:
The 4-hour EMA50/100 and the 1-hour EMA200 are all overhead in this zone, and the daily chart still hasn’t fully reclaimed the EMA20.
So my view right now is simple:
Hold above 83,600 with increased volume → look for a continued short-term move toward 84,000–84,500
Break below 82,900 → defend 82,000 again; if weakness deepens, even look toward 80,000
For now, it looks more like this:
The lower time frames are strengthening, but the higher time frames haven’t confirmed yet.
The biggest risk here isn’t a drop—it’s a low-volume spike higher, followed by a false breakout and a sharp sell-off.
I’ll wait for the direction to be confirmed instead of chasing into resistance.
$BTC $BNB $ETH
The 15-minute structure has turned stronger, and the 4-hour MACD is also showing signs of recovery, suggesting the short-term rebound is still underway.
But the problem is that resistance around 83,400–83,600 is very clear:
The 4-hour EMA50/100 and the 1-hour EMA200 are all overhead in this zone, and the daily chart still hasn’t fully reclaimed the EMA20.
So my view right now is simple:
Hold above 83,600 with increased volume → look for a continued short-term move toward 84,000–84,500
Break below 82,900 → defend 82,000 again; if weakness deepens, even look toward 80,000
For now, it looks more like this:
The lower time frames are strengthening, but the higher time frames haven’t confirmed yet.
The biggest risk here isn’t a drop—it’s a low-volume spike higher, followed by a false breakout and a sharp sell-off.
I’ll wait for the direction to be confirmed instead of chasing into resistance.
$BTC $BNB $ETH