#BTC☀ $BTC/USDT — INTRADAY TRADING PLAN
October 11, 2026 | Price on charts: ≈ 82,923 USDT
Key takeaway: After rising from 57,758.6 to 87,385.1, BTC entered a correction. Selling pressure persists on H4 and H1, although after a liquidity sweep around 80,095–80,345, the price recovered to 82,923. On M15–M5, the recovery is slowing: local BSL near 83,186 failed to prevent a subsequent decline.
Priority: SHORT after a pullback and confirmation of bearish structure. Consider LONG only after local SSL is swept and buyers are confirmed. Do not chase price. POI is an area to watch, not an entry signal.
1. Narrative — price delivery logic
D1: broad range of 57 758,6–87 385,1. After a strong upward impulse, the market is correcting from the upper liquidity area.
H4: after reaching a high of 87 385,1, price is moving in a correction. To restore bullish structure, price needs to reclaim and hold the key levels above.
H1: the decline from the 86 664,9 area brought price to 80 344,8. The subsequent bounce still looks like a recovery within the correction.
M15: price rose to 83 186,0, swept local BSL, and turned down again.
M5: local structure weakened after price failed to continue rising; price is returning to the 82 900 area.
What the market has already taken: buy-side liquidity around 87 385 and local BSL near 83 186. Levels 82 750–82 520 remain below, along with the more significant area of 81 335–80 345.
Current Delivery: locally down from 83 186 toward 82 900.
Next likely Delivery: toward 82 750–82 520; if selling intensifies, toward 81 335 and 80 345. Alternative: recovery above 83 186, with a move toward 84 500–86 000.
Invalidation Narrative: holding steadily above 83 186 would weaken the near-term bearish scenario. A move back above 84 542 would increase the likelihood of a deeper bullish correction.
2. Bias, Key Levels and Dealing Range
HTF Bias: corrective / bearish after 87 385,1.
Intraday Bias: bearish as long as price has not reclaimed 83 186.
Key Level A: 80 344,8 — significant local SSL.
Key Level B: 83 186,0 — local BSL and nearest resistance.
HTF BSL: 87 385,1.
Dealing Range: 80 344,8–87 385,1.
Midpoint (50%): 83 864,95.
Current price: ≈ 82 923 — in Discount within the broad range, but this is not a standalone LONG signal.
3. Liquidity
BSL: 83 186; then 84 542–86 145 and 87 385.
SSL: 82 750–82 520; then 81 335 and 80 345.
Equal Highs: local highs in the 83 000–83 186 area.
Equal Lows: a cluster of local lows around 82 750–82 825.
Inducement: local lows beneath the current consolidation may attract sellers before a short-term bounce. A level sweep alone does not confirm a reversal.
4. Price Range and POI
POI ≠ Entry. Price reaching a zone is not a trade signal.
SHORT POI #1: 83 000–83 186 — local BSL and a potential pullback zone.
SHORT POI #2: 83 500–84 200 — a deeper correction toward the previous structure.
LONG POI #1: 82 520–82 750 — local SSL; consider LONG only after a sweep and confirmation from buyers.
LONG POI #2: 81 335–80 345 — deep demand zone and previous reversal area.
SNR: 82 750–82 900 — local support area; 83 000–83 186 — resistance.
RB: for SHORT, look for the last bullish block before a confirmed drop; for LONG, the last bearish block before bullish displacement.
MB: consolidation zones around 82 750–83 000 require confirmation of the breakout direction.
FVG/IFVG: exact boundaries are not confirmed by the screenshots. Identify them from M15/M5 candles after displacement and wait for a retest.
Liquidity / Inducement: 83 186 above and 82 750–82 520 below are the nearest reference levels.
5. FTA / TA — delivery targets
SHORT: FTA 82 750–82 520 → TA 81 335 → 80 345.
LONG: FTA 83 186 → TA 84 542 → 86 145.
Targets are conditional: the next zone becomes relevant only if momentum continues and the structure is confirmed.
🟢 MAIN SCENARIO — SHORT
POI: 83 000–83 186; deeper zone — 83 500–84 200.
Reaction: BSL sweep and a move back below the level, accompanied by selling pressure.
Trigger: M5 BSL Sweep → Bearish MSS → Displacement → FVG/IFVG Retest.
Entry: only after a confirmed retest. If the sequence does not form — WAIT.
SL / Invalidation: above the sweep extreme. Holding steadily above 83 186 weakens the first SHORT scenario.
TP: 82 750 → 82 520 → 81 335 → 80 345.
Expected Delivery: toward local SSL, then to lower liquidity pools if selling continues.
🔴 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO — LONG
POI: 82 520–82 750; deeper zone — 81 335–80 345.
Reaction: SSL sweep, move back above the level, and a strong buyers' reaction.
Trigger: M5 SSL Sweep → Bullish MSS → Displacement → FVG/IFVG Retest.
Entry: after a confirmed retest. Without the full Trigger — WAIT.
SL / Invalidation: below the sweep extreme. Holding below 80 345 weakens the recovery scenario.
TP: 83 000 → 83 186 → 84 542.
Expected Delivery: toward local BSL; continuation above 83 186 will require confirmation of buying momentum.
6. Final Trading Map
BIAS: HTF — corrective; Intraday — bearish.
POI: SHORT 83 000–83 186; LONG 82 520–82 750.
What needs to happen at the POI: a liquidity sweep and a confirmed reaction.
M5 Trigger: Sweep → MSS → Displacement → FVG/IFVG Retest → Entry.
Invalidation: SHORT weakens if price holds above 83 186; LONG weakens if 80 345 is lost.
Expected Delivery: primary scenario — 82 750 → 82 520 → 81 335; alternative — 83 186 → 84 542.
Current price ≈ 82 923: WAIT. Do not open a SHORT after the decline has already taken place, and do not buy just because price is in Discount. Wait for a return to the POI and full confirmation on M5.$BTC
