Geopolitical risk-off framework: When something happens in the Gulf, money first flows into safe-haven assets, while high-risk positions are sold off en masse. Bitcoin is usually among the first to take a hit, putting it under short-term pressure. These shocks are mostly impulse-like. If it doesn’t break below key support within 24 hours, that means the selling pressure has been absorbed.

BTC is currently at $83,048, up 0.2% over 24 hours. Prices have mostly leveled off after the shock, the risk premium has been absorbed, and safe-haven selling hasn’t developed into a trend. $81,500 below is the support level at the impulse low; $85,000 above is a resistance zone. A sustained hold around this level would signal a recovery.

High-beta assets are more volatile. For ORDI at $4.39, contracting volume on a pullback is the kind of signal that indicates it may be stabilizing.

#BTC