October 11: Reviewing my own trades
This morning, I did something I rarely do: pulled up my trading records and went through them one by one. Not to admire the profitable trades—I just wanted to ask myself a painful question: If I had bought a fixed amount every Monday and never touched anything, would the results have been about the same?
Honestly, about the same.
I only trade spot, never use leverage, and I’ve always told myself I’m “disciplined” about when I enter. But after reviewing my records, I realized that discipline was an illusion. The plan was simple: same day every week, same amount. But in reality, whenever the price moved, I changed the plan. It dropped? I bought early, doubled down, and told myself it was “cheap.” It rose? I skipped the purchase, thinking it was “expensive.” I turned dollar-cost averaging into gut-feel trading. I didn’t earn much more, but I gave myself a whole lot more anxiety.
What struck me was a tool I saw this week: it digs up every trade made by fund managers, then checks 12 months later whether each decision turned out to be good or bad. It scores their market timing and profit-taking, and even calculates how much you would have earned by copying their publicly disclosed holdings. Some people make a living “autopsying” fund managers’ trades, while I couldn’t even be bothered to do it once for myself.
So I made a basic version of my own. I compared every altcoin purchase I made this quarter—mostly $LINK —with the “scheduled DCA buys I should have made.” Those “clever” entries mostly failed to beat the plan, and two were even worse. The only real difference wasn’t the entries I made, but the ones I missed: twice this month, on days I was supposed to buy, the coin rose 20%. FOMO made me want to wait for a pullback, but the pullback never came. The plan would have bought; I didn’t. That’s where I fell short.
There’s another hard-won rule from a loss last month: I’m done chasing coins that shoot straight up in a single day. These V-shaped tops don’t build a base or offer a second chance—they’re a one-shot move. I watched one of my entries give back all its gains by dinnertime. The plan says not to chase; only my emotions do.
Today’s takeaway: My edge isn’t in timing the market. It’s in showing up on schedule and recording the results. The most useful tool I saw this week doesn’t predict anything; it simply measures what has already happened. I’m going to start measuring myself the same way. Same amount, same time—let the records speak.
This article is adapted from publicly available educational content and is for personal study only. It does not constitute investment advice.
#交易复盘 #定投 #纪律 #LINK
This morning, I did something I rarely do: pulled up my trading records and went through them one by one. Not to admire the profitable trades—I just wanted to ask myself a painful question: If I had bought a fixed amount every Monday and never touched anything, would the results have been about the same?
Honestly, about the same.
I only trade spot, never use leverage, and I’ve always told myself I’m “disciplined” about when I enter. But after reviewing my records, I realized that discipline was an illusion. The plan was simple: same day every week, same amount. But in reality, whenever the price moved, I changed the plan. It dropped? I bought early, doubled down, and told myself it was “cheap.” It rose? I skipped the purchase, thinking it was “expensive.” I turned dollar-cost averaging into gut-feel trading. I didn’t earn much more, but I gave myself a whole lot more anxiety.
What struck me was a tool I saw this week: it digs up every trade made by fund managers, then checks 12 months later whether each decision turned out to be good or bad. It scores their market timing and profit-taking, and even calculates how much you would have earned by copying their publicly disclosed holdings. Some people make a living “autopsying” fund managers’ trades, while I couldn’t even be bothered to do it once for myself.
So I made a basic version of my own. I compared every altcoin purchase I made this quarter—mostly $LINK —with the “scheduled DCA buys I should have made.” Those “clever” entries mostly failed to beat the plan, and two were even worse. The only real difference wasn’t the entries I made, but the ones I missed: twice this month, on days I was supposed to buy, the coin rose 20%. FOMO made me want to wait for a pullback, but the pullback never came. The plan would have bought; I didn’t. That’s where I fell short.
There’s another hard-won rule from a loss last month: I’m done chasing coins that shoot straight up in a single day. These V-shaped tops don’t build a base or offer a second chance—they’re a one-shot move. I watched one of my entries give back all its gains by dinnertime. The plan says not to chase; only my emotions do.
Today’s takeaway: My edge isn’t in timing the market. It’s in showing up on schedule and recording the results. The most useful tool I saw this week doesn’t predict anything; it simply measures what has already happened. I’m going to start measuring myself the same way. Same amount, same time—let the records speak.
This article is adapted from publicly available educational content and is for personal study only. It does not constitute investment advice.
#交易复盘 #定投 #纪律 #LINK