SOL at $110—are you going to cut your losses?
First, the surface picture: the price is trading in a narrow $108.5–$112 range, RSI is 44, and it’s below the MA20—short-term momentum is bearish. Volume is shrinking, and the Bollinger Bands have tightened to an extreme. That’s a sign a big move may be coming: up or down. But there really isn’t much room left to fall.
First: ETF outflows of a few million dollars scare you into selling, and institutions happily scoop up your coins.
U.S. spot SOL ETFs have posted net outflows for several consecutive days, including $3.76 million on October 9. Sounds scary? But look at the cumulative figures: net inflows are still at $1.58 billion, with $1.73 billion in AUM.
The real big money is quietly buying in the $105–$108 range. You’re afraid it’ll break below $100; institutions are afraid they won’t buy enough.
Samsung Wallet will support cross-border USDC payments on Solana by the end of October, reaching 82 million Galaxy devices in the U.S. Securitize is bringing tokenized Apple and Nvidia shares on-chain to Solana.
Second: SIMD-0525 is going live, and Solana is quietly swapping out its engine.
Slot times are being cut to 200 ms, doubling block production speed and paving the way for Alpenglow.
Daily active addresses are at 1.88 million, a 13-month high. DEX trading volume is around $2.6 billion, while stablecoins and RWAs continue to expand.
The price is down, but more people are using it. That’s called “price down, volume up”—a typical divergence in the early stages of a bull market.
Third: technical indicators are coiling to the extreme, and a major move could happen at any moment.
The $108.5–$112 range has held for several days. The Bollinger Bands are tightening and volume is shrinking—this is the calm before the storm.
A decisive move above $112.6 on strong volume points straight to $116–$120. A break below $108.5 could accelerate a drop toward $105.
But remember: the $105–$108 zone is strong support that has been tested many times. A breakdown is far less likely than a bounce.
Trading strategies
Short-term traders:
Try a small long position at $108.5–$109, with a stop-loss at $107.5 and a target of $112–$113. Add to your position if it breaks above $112.6, targeting $116–$120. If it breaks below $108.5 on strong volume, switch to a short-term bearish stance or stay on the sidelines, targeting $105–$106.
Swing traders:
Build a position in stages at $105–$108, with a stop-loss below $105 for your core position. Target $120 → $130+, provided BTC stabilizes and ETF outflows stop. Getting in now means sitting tight—but those who can hold on are the ones who get to ride the main rally.
Long-term believers:
If you believe in the Solana ecosystem (upgrades + ETFs + RWAs + Samsung), coins below $110 are a no-brainer buy. The target for the second half of 2026 is $150–$250. But there’s one condition: you must be able to stomach another 10% in unrealized losses.
First, the surface picture: the price is trading in a narrow $108.5–$112 range, RSI is 44, and it’s below the MA20—short-term momentum is bearish. Volume is shrinking, and the Bollinger Bands have tightened to an extreme. That’s a sign a big move may be coming: up or down. But there really isn’t much room left to fall.
First: ETF outflows of a few million dollars scare you into selling, and institutions happily scoop up your coins.
U.S. spot SOL ETFs have posted net outflows for several consecutive days, including $3.76 million on October 9. Sounds scary? But look at the cumulative figures: net inflows are still at $1.58 billion, with $1.73 billion in AUM.
The real big money is quietly buying in the $105–$108 range. You’re afraid it’ll break below $100; institutions are afraid they won’t buy enough.
Samsung Wallet will support cross-border USDC payments on Solana by the end of October, reaching 82 million Galaxy devices in the U.S. Securitize is bringing tokenized Apple and Nvidia shares on-chain to Solana.
Second: SIMD-0525 is going live, and Solana is quietly swapping out its engine.
Slot times are being cut to 200 ms, doubling block production speed and paving the way for Alpenglow.
Daily active addresses are at 1.88 million, a 13-month high. DEX trading volume is around $2.6 billion, while stablecoins and RWAs continue to expand.
The price is down, but more people are using it. That’s called “price down, volume up”—a typical divergence in the early stages of a bull market.
Third: technical indicators are coiling to the extreme, and a major move could happen at any moment.
The $108.5–$112 range has held for several days. The Bollinger Bands are tightening and volume is shrinking—this is the calm before the storm.
A decisive move above $112.6 on strong volume points straight to $116–$120. A break below $108.5 could accelerate a drop toward $105.
But remember: the $105–$108 zone is strong support that has been tested many times. A breakdown is far less likely than a bounce.
Trading strategies
Short-term traders:
Try a small long position at $108.5–$109, with a stop-loss at $107.5 and a target of $112–$113. Add to your position if it breaks above $112.6, targeting $116–$120. If it breaks below $108.5 on strong volume, switch to a short-term bearish stance or stay on the sidelines, targeting $105–$106.
Swing traders:
Build a position in stages at $105–$108, with a stop-loss below $105 for your core position. Target $120 → $130+, provided BTC stabilizes and ETF outflows stop. Getting in now means sitting tight—but those who can hold on are the ones who get to ride the main rally.
Long-term believers:
If you believe in the Solana ecosystem (upgrades + ETFs + RWAs + Samsung), coins below $110 are a no-brainer buy. The target for the second half of 2026 is $150–$250. But there’s one condition: you must be able to stomach another 10% in unrealized losses.