Friday’s news was explosive; holders of $BNB probably didn’t sleep well.

Bloomberg reports that the U.S. Department of Justice is reviewing whether Binance violated its 2023 settlement agreement. The review stems from an investigation into Iranian sanctions: prosecutors want to seize $61 million, alleging it was Iranian oil revenue laundered through Binance. If the allegations are substantiated, criminal charges could be revived, along with a hefty fine. For now, though, there have been no allegations of wrongdoing, and Binance’s position is clear: it will continue to cooperate and strengthen its compliance efforts.

The fund flows were even more painful: $BTC spot ETFs saw net outflows of about $700 million over the first four trading days, while $ETH fared even worse, with $486 million in outflows. On a weekly basis, ETH fell 6.7% and SOL dropped 7.5%, while ADA was the only one that managed to hold firm and rise. The Fear and Greed Index fell from 72 to 59.

Interestingly, infrastructure is racing ahead on the other side: the CFTC’s new framework would bring leveraged trading under federal oversight; Samsung Wallet will launch USDC transfers at the end of the month; and OKX and the parent company of the NYSE have also announced a tokenized stock platform. Institutions are selling off while infrastructure charges ahead—a divergence that has often been a precursor to opportunity.

My take: There’s no denying that short-term negative catalysts are piling up, but the odds of a rate hike in October are only 16%, and liquidity hasn’t tightened at all. Don’t mistake volatility for a trend. The dips created by news-driven sell-offs are usually a more comfortable entry point than chasing a rally.

NFA DYOR

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