Catcher Predict said the Polymarket submarket for Elon Musk's tweet count from October 8 to 10, 2026, saw the "Yes" probability for the 65-89 range plunge sharply. According to ChainCatcher, the odds fell from 40.5% one hour earlier to 16% at the time of monitoring, a drop of 24.5%.

The report said the move reflected the impact of recent breaking news.