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Bitcoin’s pullback in the current cycle has been relatively mild; applying the historical average pullback would imply a price of around $74,500

On October 9, CryptoQuant analyst MAC_D wrote that Bitcoin fell about 7.61% from its October 5 high of $87,027 to its October 9 low of $80,404. This is close to the average pullback of 7.58% during the 2022–2025 bull market, but remains below the historical overall average of 14.39% in the data he analyzed.

The Bitcoin bull-market drawdown indicator compares price declines from interim highs across bull-market cycles. Average pullbacks in the 2010–2011, 2011–2013, 2015–2017, and 2018–2021 cycles were 18.41%, 21.71%, 10.93%, and 19.39%, respectively. The pullback in the most recent cycle has been relatively mild.

He noted that applying the historical average pullback of 14.39% to the recent high would imply a price of around $74,500, which could serve as a reference point in the event of further downside. He believes investors could consider gradually accumulating BTC near $80,000 and increasing buying activity in the $74,000–$75,000 range.

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🚀 Fed Warns of Rate Hikes & AI Inflation — PLUS, Claim Your Free USDC Rewards!
Macro updates are shaking up the markets again!
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🚨 GEOPOLITICAL UPDATE: Trump Rules Out Iran Attacks Before November 3 Midterms! 🇺🇸🇮🇷
Global markets are reacting to major breaking news from Washington. US President Donald Trump has officially announced that the United States will not launch any military strikes or attacks against Iran prior to the November 3 midterm elections.
Key Highlights:
No Pre-Election Escalation: Trump confirmed that military operations will remain paused as Washington and Tehran engage in what he described as "productive discussions".
Blockade Remains Active: Despite diplomatic talks continuing, Trump emphasized that the strict US economic and naval blockade on Iran "will remain in full force and effect."
Market Sentiment: Global risk assets, commodities, and crypto markets are closely monitoring these headlines, as Middle Eastern stability heavily influences macro-economic conditions.
What This Means for Crypto Traders:
Major geopolitical announcements can trigger sudden volatility across all markets. Keeping a close eye on macro events helps you manage risk better and avoid getting trapped in unexpected price swings.
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$NVDAB

Crypto moves fast, but there is no need to chase every candle.

I prefer waiting for confirmation, support, and a clear invalidation level.

Patience is part of trading.

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I’ve realized that a lot of people may have never really understood BNB.

In the past, when people talked about BNB, their biggest concern was how much it had gone up today and whether it could keep rising tomorrow.

But the longer I hold crypto assets, the more I feel that what’s really worth studying about a coin isn’t how high it might go on any given day, but how many people are still willing to use it once the market quiets down.

There’s something quite interesting about BNB.

It’s not just a token in an exchange ecosystem. Behind it is also a public blockchain that people actually use. Some people trade, some build applications, some participate in DeFi, and others simply use it to pay gas fees.

Of course, that doesn’t mean BNB is guaranteed to go up. More users on-chain doesn’t mean all that growth will translate into value for the token.

But at least it gives us something we can observe over the long term: real demand.

I’m increasingly less interested in researching coins that can rise on the strength of a single story.

You can tell a story over and over, but it’s hard to keep users, capital, and real-world usage going on talk alone.

When the market is good, everything looks like a value investment. When it’s bad, you find out what really has value.

That’s why, rather than trying to predict whether BNB will rise or fall tomorrow, I’d rather spend time observing how far its ecosystem has really come.

#BTC #ETH #BNB

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1. TOKEN2049 Week and its flagship summits are in full swing in Singapore
The Agentic Finance Summit takes place today: a closed-door summit in Singapore for institutional investors, with attendance limited to 400 invited guests. It focuses on the convergence of AI agents, finance, and Web3 infrastructure, exploring autonomous fund management by AI agents, machine payments, and compliance automation. Traditional finance giants and leading Web3 projects—including Visa, Coinbase, Aave Labs, Chainlink, and Pantera Capital—are gathering to discuss how to build the next generation of on-chain financial infrastructure.
The AI & Emerging Onchain Assets Summit is also taking place in Singapore today. Centered on “Value, Real-World Assets (RWA), and Liquidity,” it brings together developers, investors, and ecosystem builders to explore innovative applications for on-chain assets.
2. Domestic developments: Agent payment coordination network launches
The world’s largest agent payment coordination network launched in Shanghai: On October 8, a blockchain and AI payment coordination network, jointly promoted by the China Electronics Standardization Institute and several industry-academia-research institutions in Shanghai, officially launched. It aims to standardize the language used by bank cards and e-wallets and advance machine payment standards for the AI era.
3. Key macro and industry themes to watch in October
Macroeconomic policy and regulatory outlook: As mid-to-late October approaches, markets are closely watching U.S. macroeconomic data, including September nonfarm payrolls and CPI, as well as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and Beige Book. Regulatory developments are also a hot topic across the industry, including the UK FCA’s crypto regulatory framework and South Korea’s rules for civil seizure of crypto assets.
Key tokens and ecosystems: Major tokens such as SUI, EIGEN, and ENA are also approaching key unlock events this month, with market volatility drawing close attention.
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#币安钱包 October 9 Dog-Beating Diary [with a 20U red packet] 🧧
What happened to the BSC chain? It was like a city bustling with construction, then suddenly turned into a ghost town. You could walk for several kilometers without seeing a single car.
Where did all the liquidity go? Not a single coin has launched in 12 hours.
The primary market is so quiet, and the secondary market is struggling too.
People originally thought this was just a normal correction…
Wait and see…

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🚨 BITCOIN IS BACK NEAR $82K.

But the biggest warning tonight may not be Bitcoin itself.

It’s this:

ALTCOINS ARE BLEEDING.

Latest BTC snapshot:

₿ BTC → ~$82.1K

24H low → ~$81.7K

Meanwhile, weakness is spreading across crypto:

🔴 RWA → -6.73%

🔴 DeFi → -3.09%

🔴 Layer 2 → -3.33%

🔴 Meme → -3.61%

Why does this matter?

① Altcoins are falling harder as BTC weakens

② Risk appetite is deteriorating

③ Even popular narratives aren’t escaping selling pressure

④ One coin bouncing doesn’t mean the market is recovering

Meanwhile:

🛢️ Brent crude surged above $104

📈 Treasury yields remain elevated

💰 Latest completed BTC ETF session: -$484.9M

So the real question is:

IS THIS JUST A BTC CORRECTION?

Or

A BROADER RISK-OFF RESET?

Core variable:

MARKET BREADTH.

Now I’m watching:

👀 BTC reclaiming $83K

👀 Whether the ~$81.7K low gets retested

👀 Altcoin sector weakness

👀 Oil, Treasury yields and the next ETF flow report

👇 What’s your take?

🟢 TEMPORARY SHAKEOUT

🔴 BROADER MARKET RESET

#BTC #ETH #BNB

𝑺𝑶𝑴𝑬𝑻𝑰𝑴𝑬, 𝑵𝑶𝑻 𝑳𝑶𝑺𝑰𝑵𝑮 𝑴𝑶𝑵𝑬𝒀 𝑰𝑺 𝑨 𝑽𝑰𝑪𝑻𝑶𝑹𝒀 🎀 𝑴𝑨𝑹𝑲𝑬𝑻 𝑷𝑨𝒀𝑺 𝑶𝑵𝑳𝒀 𝑻𝑯𝑶𝑺𝑬 𝑾𝑯𝑶 𝑫𝑰𝑫𝑵'𝑻 𝑮𝑬𝑻 𝑷𝑨𝑵𝑰𝑪 𝑰𝑵 𝑬𝑽𝑬𝑹𝒀 𝑺𝑰𝑻𝑼𝑨𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵 ✨

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