Bitcoin has posted 120% and 35% gains in the 12 months after the last two US midterm elections, the exact opposite of the chaos most traders price in.
The real pain is freezing up on election FUD and selling $BTC near the lows, only to watch the recovery start without you. That hesitation after 2018 and 2022 locked people out of the best entries of those entire cycles.
I traded both of them. After the 2018 midterms $BTC was already sliding hard and printed $3,200 by Christmas. A year later it had recovered 35% from November levels while $ETH quietly set the stage for the DeFi explosion that followed. 2022 was even uglier. FTX blew up in the same window as the vote. $BTC sat at $16,500 and felt finished. Twelve months later it had more than doubled and $SOL ripped from near-zero to leading the next leg.
The pattern is the uncertainty peaking right before the ballots, then fading once Congress actually sits. Liquidity comes back, the worst-case regulation narrative dies, and the next catalyst takes over. 2026 is already starting to look a lot like those two setups.
Where do you think this one goes once the 2026 votes are counted?
#Bitcoin #Midterms #CryptoCycles
The real pain is freezing up on election FUD and selling $BTC near the lows, only to watch the recovery start without you. That hesitation after 2018 and 2022 locked people out of the best entries of those entire cycles.
I traded both of them. After the 2018 midterms $BTC was already sliding hard and printed $3,200 by Christmas. A year later it had recovered 35% from November levels while $ETH quietly set the stage for the DeFi explosion that followed. 2022 was even uglier. FTX blew up in the same window as the vote. $BTC sat at $16,500 and felt finished. Twelve months later it had more than doubled and $SOL ripped from near-zero to leading the next leg.
The pattern is the uncertainty peaking right before the ballots, then fading once Congress actually sits. Liquidity comes back, the worst-case regulation narrative dies, and the next catalyst takes over. 2026 is already starting to look a lot like those two setups.
Where do you think this one goes once the 2026 votes are counted?
#Bitcoin #Midterms #CryptoCycles