US Stocks | Opening Bell in Focus | October 8

⏰ Beijing Time 21:31 | US/Eastern 09:31

I. Opening performance of the three major indexes
- S&P 500: 7774.20 points -0.35%
- Dow Jones: 51024.47 points -0.30%
- Nasdaq: 27401.43 points -0.50%

The three major indexes opened slightly lower; tech stocks led the decline, and the Nasdaq was the weakest. After the open, volume had not expanded significantly yet. The semiconductor sector, SOXX, fell straight to -1.91%, the most noticeable drag today.

II. Key events before the open
- The 10-year US Treasury yield remains at a high level; the market still has disagreements over the Fed’s rate-cut timeline
- Inflation expectations have been swinging, and combined with the window ahead of the September nonfarm payrolls, capital is leaning defensive
- Earnings season is approaching; this week, major banks will roll out reports in sequence
- Geopolitical risk premium has not faded; oil prices are firm. The energy sector, XLE, rose +1.96% against the trend

III. Pre-market futures vs. actual open
The pre-market futures were roughly flat and slightly weak. After the actual open, the three major indexes dipped modestly and losses widened, though they did not break down. This suggests selling pressure is not heavy—more like a structural pullback driven by tech stocks, rather than a release of systemic risk.

IV. Notable stock movers
- NVDA 234.24 -1.36%: semiconductor sector drag
- TSLA 374.12 -0.98%: tracking the broader market lower
- AAPL 336.74 +0.02%: nearly flat at the open
- AMD 635.48 -1.61%: weaker than the broader market
- MSFT 530.22 +0.09%: resilient
- GOOGL 355.05 +1.30%: strengthened against the trend; funds回流 to the AI application layer
- MSTR 151.05 -1.51%: weaker, tracking BTC
- PLTR 200.32 +3.20%: #1 on the gainers list; AI theme continues to heat up

V. Immediate impact on Crypto
- BTC last at 82369 -1.14%, with IBIT down -1.30% in sync
- ETH 2535 -1.09%
- BNB 760 -0.85%
- SOL 112 -3.35% (weakest)

As US tech stocks weaken alongside a slightly stronger US dollar, BTC faces short-term pressure. However, the selloff in US stocks at the open is not large (less than 0.5%). BTC’s decline is currently moving in step; there has been no decoupling or panic selling. If US stocks stabilize tonight, BTC could potentially find a stopping point for the decline around 81,800. If the Nasdaq expands its drop to -1% or worse, BTC may test the 80,000 round-number level.

VI. Trading suggestions: stay defensive
Tonight’s plan:
1. Don’t chase gains: the three major indexes opened lower + VIX +3% + semiconductor drag, so market sentiment is cautious
2. Mostly stand by on spot BTC/ETH; if it breaks below 82,000, don’t rush to bottom-fish
3. Watch whether US stocks can hold within -0.5% tonight—this is key for Crypto’s short-term direction
4. Strong themes: Energy (XLE) +1.96% can be used as a hedge allocation
5. Strong coins: OGN +84%, MET +41%—these high-volatility, high–drawdown “mountain/valley” profiles are extremely risky; not recommended to chase

One-line takeaway: US stocks are slightly lower at the open, not panic-level—but the double hit to tech and semiconductors is casting a short-term shadow over Crypto. Tonight is more defensive; keep a close eye on whether the Nasdaq can stabilize.