On October 7, $BTC fell below $84,000, down more than 2% on the day, while $ETH dropped over 3%. Other major cryptocurrencies weakened in tandem. Coinglass data shows that more than 100,000 traders were liquidated across the market in 24 hours, with about $550 million in long positions wiped out — this looks more like leveraged positions being flushed out than systematic selling.

The trigger points to geopolitics: Market reports say Iran has stepped up attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, stoking risk aversion. At the same time, international oil prices surged while gold and silver plunged. Investors pulled out of risk assets first; everything else came later.

My view is that the significance of the $84,000 level lies not in the price itself, but in its role as a rung the bulls have to hold. If it breaks, bears gain the narrative advantage, opening the way for a drop toward $80,000. But from another angle, a liquidation of several hundred million dollars in long positions is precisely the process of squeezing overheated leverage out of the market. These kinds of “washout declines” often form short-term lows more readily than a slow, grinding slide.

So I don’t think a single geopolitical headline can determine Bitcoin’s medium-term direction. The real variable is still the flows into spot ETFs — as long as we don’t see consecutive days of large net outflows, I’m more inclined to treat this kind of sharp wick as noise.

Would you reduce or add to your position during a sharp wick like this? Share a specific price level.

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