#BTC vs #XAU (BTCXAU): the ratio just flipped bullish ๐ฅ
After 12 years in BTC, I watch BTC/GOLD closely. It shows whether Bitcoin is actually outperforming the โsafe haven.โ
๐ Nov 2025: ratio topped above 28
๐ Feb 2026: bottomed at 12.1 (down more than 55%)
๐ Since then: higher lows (12.1 โ 13.7 โ 14.3) and higher highs (18.0 โ 18.6 โ 21.0)
๐ Sept: broke out of the 18.5 area and ran to 21
Today: 20.08, the first pullback after a sharp run.
๐ข Base case: retest of 19.4โ19.6 (breakout support), then another push at 21 ๐ฏ
๐ Bull: a daily close above 21.35 opens 22.45, then 24+
๐ป Bear: a close below 19.4 and the breakout fails, with 18.5 and 17.5 next
Note that part of this move came from gold weakening, so a gold bounce can pull the ratio down even if BTC holds.
Iโm watching 19.4 and 21.35. Whatโs your call, retest first or straight through? ๐
#BTC #Bitcoin #Gold #XAUT #BTCVSGOLD #CryptoAnalysis
After 12 years in BTC, I watch BTC/GOLD closely. It shows whether Bitcoin is actually outperforming the โsafe haven.โ
๐ Nov 2025: ratio topped above 28
๐ Feb 2026: bottomed at 12.1 (down more than 55%)
๐ Since then: higher lows (12.1 โ 13.7 โ 14.3) and higher highs (18.0 โ 18.6 โ 21.0)
๐ Sept: broke out of the 18.5 area and ran to 21
Today: 20.08, the first pullback after a sharp run.
๐ข Base case: retest of 19.4โ19.6 (breakout support), then another push at 21 ๐ฏ
๐ Bull: a daily close above 21.35 opens 22.45, then 24+
๐ป Bear: a close below 19.4 and the breakout fails, with 18.5 and 17.5 next
Note that part of this move came from gold weakening, so a gold bounce can pull the ratio down even if BTC holds.
Iโm watching 19.4 and 21.35. Whatโs your call, retest first or straight through? ๐
#BTC #Bitcoin #Gold #XAUT #BTCVSGOLD #CryptoAnalysis