📊 BITCOIN (BTC) — Analysis for 07/10/2026 | Scenario for tomorrow (Thursday 08/10)
💰 Current price: ~83 100 $ | -3.6% over 24h
💥 24h liquidations: ~550 M$ (majority long positions)
🔬 ICT ANALYSIS (4H / 1H timeframes)
• Market structure: Price swept the buy-side liquidity above $85,200, then broke the last swing low at 84,000 $ = Bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) confirmed, followed by a confirmed bearish Break of Structure (BOS) on the 4H timeframe.
• Targeted liquidity: Buyers' stops are clustered below 82 800 $ (recent swing low) and below the EQH equilibrium at ~81,900 $. Market makers are targeting this liquidity tomorrow.
• Order Block / FVG: Bearish Order Block at $84,200–$84,800. Unfilled bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $84,500–$85,100. As long as no 4H close fills this gap, the short-term trend remains bearish.
• Premium / Discount: Price is trading in the discount zone of the daily range (below the point of control at ~86,000 $) = bearish continuation favored.
📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
• Macro: Rising US 10-year yields + a strong dollar (DXY) = pressure on risk assets. September FOMC minutes are imminent, with hawkish risk.
• Flows: Gold is attracting safe-haven flows (BTC/gold correlation ~0.91 this week) at BTC's expense; spot ETF inflows have slowed.
• On-chain: Price is 34% below the ATH ($126,198). The post-halving effect supports the long term, but is being offset in the short term by deleveraging.
🔮 SCENARIO FOR TOMORROW: 🐻 BEARISH (only scenario considered)
• Main target: Sweep of liquidity below 82 800 $ → continuation toward **81 000 – 81 500 $** (next bullish Order Block + monthly range equilibrium).
• Invalidation (the only level that cancels the scenario): 4H close above $84,800. Not considered.
• Killzone to watch: New York session (13:00–17:00 UTC) — liquidity sweeps typically occur during this session.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #TechnicalAnalysis #ICT #CryptoTrading
💰 Current price: ~83 100 $ | -3.6% over 24h
💥 24h liquidations: ~550 M$ (majority long positions)
🔬 ICT ANALYSIS (4H / 1H timeframes)
• Market structure: Price swept the buy-side liquidity above $85,200, then broke the last swing low at 84,000 $ = Bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) confirmed, followed by a confirmed bearish Break of Structure (BOS) on the 4H timeframe.
• Targeted liquidity: Buyers' stops are clustered below 82 800 $ (recent swing low) and below the EQH equilibrium at ~81,900 $. Market makers are targeting this liquidity tomorrow.
• Order Block / FVG: Bearish Order Block at $84,200–$84,800. Unfilled bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $84,500–$85,100. As long as no 4H close fills this gap, the short-term trend remains bearish.
• Premium / Discount: Price is trading in the discount zone of the daily range (below the point of control at ~86,000 $) = bearish continuation favored.
📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
• Macro: Rising US 10-year yields + a strong dollar (DXY) = pressure on risk assets. September FOMC minutes are imminent, with hawkish risk.
• Flows: Gold is attracting safe-haven flows (BTC/gold correlation ~0.91 this week) at BTC's expense; spot ETF inflows have slowed.
• On-chain: Price is 34% below the ATH ($126,198). The post-halving effect supports the long term, but is being offset in the short term by deleveraging.
🔮 SCENARIO FOR TOMORROW: 🐻 BEARISH (only scenario considered)
• Main target: Sweep of liquidity below 82 800 $ → continuation toward **81 000 – 81 500 $** (next bullish Order Block + monthly range equilibrium).
• Invalidation (the only level that cancels the scenario): 4H close above $84,800. Not considered.
• Killzone to watch: New York session (13:00–17:00 UTC) — liquidity sweeps typically occur during this session.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #TechnicalAnalysis #ICT #CryptoTrading
