The US Treasury market made another big move today: the yield on 30-year US Treasuries rose 6 basis points intraday, surging to a high of 5.7041%. This not only extends the recent upward trend but also sets a new high not seen since 2002.

As an important benchmark for global asset pricing, the 30-year Treasury yield reaching a more than 20-year high reflects the market’s continued adjustment to expectations of a prolonged high-interest-rate environment and inflation. Rising long-term rates typically mean that the global risk-free rate floor is being pushed ever higher.

In traditional financial markets, persistently high borrowing costs will continue to weigh on risk-asset valuations, while making dollar-denominated assets more attractive. Meanwhile, Europe continues to provide financial assistance to Ukraine amid geopolitical tensions. With multiple macroeconomic factors converging, traditional investors’ risk appetite is being put to the test.

For the crypto market, sustained high risk-free yields may make investors more selective and place some pressure on liquidity. However, some believe that high yields often come with macroeconomic uncertainty, and some capital may seek to balance its portfolio by investing in core assets such as $BTC . The outlook will require continued objective observation. 🔍

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