$ONDO is up 27.32% over 30 days and only down 1.69% this week. i read that as a pause inside a trend.

it's still 20.9 points ahead of bitcoin on the 30d window. the week gave back 3.9 points of that lead, but volume over the last 5 days is 0.57x the prior 20. a dip on thin volume tells me sellers aren't showing up in size.

daily RSI is 57 and Bollinger %B is 0.55, so nothing is stretched. setup score is 8 out of 14, which is decent and not a 12. the daily MACD histogram is still negative, and that's the part working against me.

$ONDO trades at $0.4931 right now. if it holds yesterday's low of $0.4832, i think it pushes back to yesterday's high at $0.5102, about 3.4% away. if it loses $0.4832, i'm wrong and there's nothing to defend. that's roughly 2% below spot, and it's what a long eats.

holds $0.4832 or breaks it, which one?

follow me for more calls like this.