A make-or-break level that will determine whether XRP can begin a new rally

XRP is now at a critical crossroads. Whether it can keep climbing depends entirely on how it handles the next technical test.

Market commentator Austin Hilton has outlined a technical setup: The price is currently around $1.50. That level is the key line of defense, while $1.55 is the biggest hurdle in the way.

To spark a major rally, XRP needs to clear two hurdles: First, it must firmly hold the $1.50 support level without breaking below it. Second, it must decisively break above $1.55 and stay there, rather than spike above it only to quickly fall back.

$1.55 is the resistance ceiling from the previous downtrend. A decisive break above it would fully open up the upside, with the next targets at the Fibonacci levels of $2.18, $2.40, and $2.57.

Using historical price action as a guide, a repeat of the previous move could take XRP as high as $2.43

Analysts compared past price action and found that XRP previously surged 56.83%, climbing from $0.99 to $1.55. Projecting the same gain, if history repeats itself this time, XRP could reach around $2.43—implying nearly 60% upside from its current price.

Of course, the market won't just keep rising without a hitch. XRP has pulled back before, with external factors such as concerns over employment data and geopolitical tensions pushing the price back into the $1.50 range.

In short, keep an eye on these two price levels

✅ Ideal bullish scenario: Hold above $1.50 → break above and stay above $1.55, opening up further upside toward the $2.18–$2.57 range, with a reference target of $2.43

❌ Risk scenario: If XRP fails to hold the $1.50 support, the rebound thesis is invalidated and the market could weaken again.