$Lobster made a pretty sudden move on this 15m candle, up 2.18%, with volume jumping to 3.33x.

What’s interesting is that the price went up while OI fell—15m: -0.06%, 1h: -0.64%. I generally wouldn’t read this combination as new longs coming in; it looks more like shorts getting squeezed a bit or existing positions being covered. The taker volume delta is 2.5%, and the buy/sell ratio is 1.05. There’s some willingness to chase, but it’s not the kind of frenzied market buying you see in a full-on sweep.

The closing price just pierced the top of the recent 20 five-minute candles. Its notional change ranks 11th across the whole pool, and its anomaly percentile is 84.7%, which shows there’s real money moving—not just noise.

24h trading volume is 94.61M, and the pool is deep enough that this kind of breakout shouldn’t fail at the first poke. But the OI divergence is worth watching—if this move is driven by shorts covering and no new longs follow through, it could easily spike and then start grinding sideways.

First, let’s see whether it can hold above the top of this range. If it can’t, it’s a fakeout.