Kalshi prediction markets are pricing in a 20% chance of a recession next year.
Kind of ironic: risk assets are still partying, but people putting real money on the line think there’s a one-in-five chance things go south 🙄 Prediction markets are a lot more honest than economists’ talk.
Liquidity is still holding things up for now, so crypto isn’t panicking. But if that number shoots up to 35%, that’ll be the starting gun for a flight to safety. Make a note of it.
$BTC #Kalshi #Macro
Kind of ironic: risk assets are still partying, but people putting real money on the line think there’s a one-in-five chance things go south 🙄 Prediction markets are a lot more honest than economists’ talk.
Liquidity is still holding things up for now, so crypto isn’t panicking. But if that number shoots up to 35%, that’ll be the starting gun for a flight to safety. Make a note of it.
$BTC #Kalshi #Macro
