$GTC - First peak: 0.24880 (the peak of this rally)
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Second peak: After the rebound, the price failed to break above the previous high, forming a lower peak. The price then pulled back, creating an M-shaped double top.
Neckline: 0.194–0.200 range
The current price is 0.218, within the upper range of the double top. It has already pulled back from the high but has not yet broken below the neckline.
The standard logic of a double top:
After two attempts to move higher, bullish momentum fades and the price is unable to make a new high. Once the neckline breaks, the pattern is confirmed. The theoretical downside target = peak − the distance to the neckline.
The peak is 0.2488 and the neckline is 0.194, a difference of approximately 0.0548. If the neckline breaks decisively, the downside target is around 0.14.
First peak (0.2488): a surge in volume
Trading volume increased sharply, indicating that a large amount of capital entered the market to drive prices up, as bulls concentrated their strength in the short term.
​The second rebound forms the second peak: volume shrinks noticeably
This is the key signal in a double top: the rebound is not supported by sufficient volume.
The price rebounded close to the previous high, but buying pressure was far weaker than during the first rally. Bulls lacked follow-through, signaling a potential top.
​ Current situation: Trading volume remains fairly high during the pullback, indicating that some investors are taking profits and selling at higher levels.
New highs require rising volume; the rebound lacks volume; bullish momentum is fading