$GTC ’s 15m candle was pretty brutal, dropping nearly 5 points outright, with volume hitting 2.8 times normal.

What’s interesting, though, is the OI: 15m contracts are down 3.83%, while the 1h figure is up 3.06%. Leverage is unwinding in the short term, but positions are still flowing in at the hourly level. The OI anomaly percentile is 98.8%, ranking second across the entire pool—this isn’t the kind of data retail traders can produce just by messing around.

Price down + OI down: a classic case of bullish positions getting squeezed, with stop-losses and position reductions happening together. The aggressive buy/sell ratio is 1.06, and the trade imbalance is 2.8%. Selling pressure isn’t especially fierce; it looks more like leverage simply can’t hold up.

24h trading volume is 440 million U, so liquidity is sufficient. But OI has been in the abnormal zone for several consecutive periods, and you don’t see a 98.8th percentile every day. This kind of setup either means a shakeout to clear out weak hands before moving higher, or that someone got an early tip and is pulling out. I’d keep an eye on the next two 15m candles to see whether OI keeps shrinking or someone steps in to take those positions back.