DOGE closed at 0.09562 USDT from 20:00 to 21:00 Beijing time, breaking below the consolidation range of the previous three hours; this hour’s volume was 2.15 times that of the previous hour. My assessment: this pullback has now been confirmed by both price and volume. Next, I’ll watch to see whether the range continues to shift lower.

The lowest price among the three 1H candles that closed from 17:00 to 20:00 was 0.09598. After the new hour touched 0.09545, it still closed below the lower boundary of that range, and buyers have yet to push the price back into the previous range. This is spot trading volume from one market and does not establish net outflows from the market as a whole.

1670.05 million DOGE traded from 20:00 to 21:00, compared with 777.40 million from 19:00 to 20:00. The two windows are adjacent, equal in length, and both have closed. Unlike a brief intrahour dip below the level, the shift in the range has verifiable support because the closing price and trading volume changed together.

Confirmation condition: the next 1H candle closes below 0.09545, with volume at least as high as from 20:00 to 21:00. Invalidation condition: a subsequent 1H candle reclaims 0.09598 and holds that level on a retest in the following 1H candle. Until either condition occurs, I’ll maintain the boundary of “only the break in this hour is confirmed.”

Data as of October 5, 2026, 21:00 Beijing time. Source: official spot v5 K-line endpoint, DOGE-USDT; all entries have confirm=1. Price is in USDT and volume is in DOGE. Independent analysis; not investment advice.

If the next candle still closes below 0.09598, I’ll maintain the “range has shifted lower” view. What closed-candle evidence would you use to disprove it?