$ASTER is sitting at $0.7343, 0.5% above its 20-day mean at $0.73065, and that gap is the whole trade.

It bounced off a 24h low of $0.7025 and is pressing the 24h high of $0.7365. That's +3.5% on the day inside a month that's still -5.51%, so this is a bounce in a weak stretch and I won't pretend it's more.

What I like: daily RSI is 53, so it isn't stretched, and the 4H MACD is positive. The screener scores it 9 out of 14. That's a 9, not a 12, so size it like a 9.

Room above runs to the 10-day swing high at $0.7815, 6.4% away. The risk to the mean is 0.5%. That lopsided ratio is the post.

$ASTER trades at $0.7343 right now. If it holds $0.73065, I think it grinds up toward $0.7815. If it loses $0.73065, I'm wrong on this and there's nothing to defend. Anyone long gives back the bounce and gets pulled toward the $0.7025 low.

$0.73065 holds or breaks on the next daily close?

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