#ETH（二饼） Nighttime liquidity thins out, and the risk of needle-spike liquidation is extremely high. The following is only a market scenario analysis for tonight through tomorrow morning at 8:00, and does not constitute any investment advice.
ETH current price is around 2716 bullish Refer to the support and resistance levels below; only analyzing the levels
Key levels
Support: first support 2700; strong support 2675-2665
Resistance: first resistance 2750; strong resistance 2775-2785
Three scenarios
✅ Stronger: If it holds above 2750, does not quickly fall back below 2725, and BTC stays above 86800, then there is a chance to test 2775-2785; remember for the night session: a single spike up does not count as a valid breakout, it must hold for 15-30 minutes to count
⚖️ Range-bound: Oscillating back and forth between 2700-2750 is the most likely outcome tonight; with shrinking volume at night, most moves are stop-loss sweeps and fakeouts, making it hard to form an independent one-way trend, so watch BTC's lead throughout
❌ Weaker: If it breaks below 2700 with volume, priority is a retest of 2675-2665; 2665 is the lifeline for the night session. Once lost, insufficient liquidity can easily trigger chain liquidations, and downside space can expand instantly
Night watch focus
Don't be fooled by sudden spikes at night; the credibility of false breakouts is lower than during the day; don't chase rapid rises or drops; focus on BTC strength or weakness, as ETH rarely moves independently; the closer it gets to 4-6 a.m., the weaker liquidity becomes, and the higher the probability of a sweep.
✅ Weekly position discipline (unified version)
Set stop-loss before opening a position, and never move it lower
The maximum holding period for any trade is 7 days; close the position when time is up regardless of profit or loss
Do not average down to cover losses; stop trading immediately once intraday losses reach the threshold
ETH current price is around 2716 bullish Refer to the support and resistance levels below; only analyzing the levels
Key levels
Support: first support 2700; strong support 2675-2665
Resistance: first resistance 2750; strong resistance 2775-2785
Three scenarios
✅ Stronger: If it holds above 2750, does not quickly fall back below 2725, and BTC stays above 86800, then there is a chance to test 2775-2785; remember for the night session: a single spike up does not count as a valid breakout, it must hold for 15-30 minutes to count
⚖️ Range-bound: Oscillating back and forth between 2700-2750 is the most likely outcome tonight; with shrinking volume at night, most moves are stop-loss sweeps and fakeouts, making it hard to form an independent one-way trend, so watch BTC's lead throughout
❌ Weaker: If it breaks below 2700 with volume, priority is a retest of 2675-2665; 2665 is the lifeline for the night session. Once lost, insufficient liquidity can easily trigger chain liquidations, and downside space can expand instantly
Night watch focus
Don't be fooled by sudden spikes at night; the credibility of false breakouts is lower than during the day; don't chase rapid rises or drops; focus on BTC strength or weakness, as ETH rarely moves independently; the closer it gets to 4-6 a.m., the weaker liquidity becomes, and the higher the probability of a sweep.
✅ Weekly position discipline (unified version)
Set stop-loss before opening a position, and never move it lower
The maximum holding period for any trade is 7 days; close the position when time is up regardless of profit or loss
Do not average down to cover losses; stop trading immediately once intraday losses reach the threshold
