QNT/USDT — TDA

#QNT Based on the charts provided, the structure is clearly readable from 1D → 4H → 1H → 15M → 5M. QNT is currently around 251.5, and following the extreme impulse, the market has entered a redistribution/balance phase.

1. Narrative A → B → C

🟢 Main Narrative

A = 238.00 SSL sweep → bullish displacement → B = 259.90 / 266 → 277.94 → 327.79 BSL.

On 15M/5M, we can see:

238 SSL swept → strong reaction upward → 259.90 formed as local BSL → price returned to the range.

This gives a bullish narrative as long as 238 holds as structural Invalidation C.

Invalidation C

C = sustained acceptance below 238.00.

Not just a wick below 238, but acceptance below it + no quick reclaim. Then the bullish narrative is invalidated.

2. TDA

1D

After the move from 55 to 374.50, the market is significantly above its historical base, but is no longer in a clean impulsive phase.

Higher-timeframe structure:

55 → 374.50 → correction → balance around 205–327.

Therefore, the current market should not be viewed as a standard trend-following LONG at market.

4H

After the spike to 374.50, price formed a broad distribution.

Key zones:

327–328 — upper BSL;

266–278 — intermediate liquidity/supply;

205–240 — lower liquidity;

238 — a fresh SSL sweep.

1H

This is where the most interesting structure emerges:

327.79 → lower highs → 238 sweep → bullish reaction.

The latest sweep of 238 is the main event in the current narrative.

After 327.79, bearish delivery formed, but around 238 sellers met a strong reaction from buyers.

15M

238 → 259.90 — local bullish displacement.

A retracement of this move is currently underway.

3. Dealing Range

For the current intraday model, I’m using:

238.00 → 259.90

Equilibrium:

≈ 249.0

Therefore:

Discount: 238–249

Equilibrium: ~249

Premium: 249–260

The current price of 251.5 is slightly above EQ.

Therefore, LONG at 251.5 right now is no longer an optimal entry.

4. Liquidity

Buy-side

259.90

266.0

277.94

327.79

374.50

Sell-side

246–249

238.00

231–232

205

The main immediate objective for price if the bullish narrative holds:

sweep 259.90 → deliver price to 266 → 277.94.

5. Price Range

Working intraday Price Range:

238 → 259.90

Within it:

238 SSL → 249 EQ → 259.90 BSL

This is a very important setup for the current plan.

6. POI

🟢 LONG POI #1

246.5–249.5

This is the most interesting zone for a retracement.

Idea:

Delivery down → Discount → SSL/local liquidity → bullish reaction.

But enter only after confirmation on 5M.

🟢 LONG POI #2

240–244

Deep zone before the main 238 SSL.

If this area is swept and quickly reclaimed, it could be a stronger LONG.

7. FTA / TA

For a LONG:

FTA #1: 256–260

FTA #2: 266

FTA #3: 277–278

The first FTA is especially important: 259.90 is the nearest BSL.

If price reaches there without strong displacement, a breakout should not be expected automatically.

8. Trigger / VC

On 5M, I’m waiting for:

Liquidity sweep → MSS → Displacement → FVG/IFVG → Retest.

For a LONG:

Price reaches 246.5–249.5 → sweeps local SSL → bullish MSS → displacement → 5M FVG/IFVG forms → retest → Entry.

This is significantly higher quality than simply placing a limit LONG at 251.5.

9. ENTRY / SL / TP

🟢 Primary LONG

POI: 246.5–249.5

Entry: after 5M MSS + displacement + FVG/IFVG retest

SL: below confirmed 5M swing; conservative structural invalidation — below 238

TP

TP1: 259.9

TP2: 266

TP3: 277.9

TP4: 327.8

After TP1, take partial profits and manage the rest based on structure.

🔴 Alternative SHORT

If price moves up first:

259.9–266 → BSL sweep → bearish MSS 5M → displacement down

then a SHORT narrative emerges:

259/266 BSL → bearish delivery → 249 → 238 SSL.

If there is a break and acceptance below 238, the next delivery opens:

238 → 231–232 → 205.

Short invalidation

Sustained acceptance above 266 invalidates the local SHORT narrative.

Summary

🟢 PRIMARY

238 SSL sweep → bullish displacement → retracement to 246.5–249.5 → 5M confirmation → LONG → 259.9 → 266 → 277.9 → 327.8.

🔴 ALTERNATIVE

259.9–266 BSL sweep → bearish MSS → SHORT → 249 → 238 → 231/205.

The key level for the entire model is 238. As long as the market is above it and can hold a reclaim after a sweep, bullish delivery retains the advantage.

At the moment, 251.5 is not a chase zone. We wait either for Discount/5M confirmation for a LONG, or for a BSL sweep for a SHORT.$QNT

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