Considering all sides brings clarity. During this morning’s gold pullback, the probability on Polymarket that the price of $BTC will be above 86,000 today fell from a peak of 79% to 31%, but has now climbed back to 72%.
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Gold short-term gains started to give back early morning’s rise; $BTC reacted a bit slower. You can short and look for it to retrace the early morning increase. Remember to set a stop-loss.