$BTC $QNT $LYN
Pre-election Market Outlook: Big Bread Strategy
1、BTC
The big bread has repeatedly tried to break through the 87,300 level, striking it four or five times, but it still hasn’t managed an effective breakout. In the earlier attempts, good news would come out, it would spike up, then immediately reverse and fall—this is a signal to be cautious about. I already warned here about short-term risk three days ago.
But on the 4-hour timeframe, the market lows are still gradually rising; 83,300 is the key support of the upward trend, and it hasn’t been broken yet.
Right now it’s trading in a high-level box range, 83,300 — 87,300. With one month left until the election, price action will likely move back and forth during this period. Good news tends to spike and then retrace easily—don’t blindly chase.
Strategy: Hold 83,300 and the ranging structure stays the same. If there is an effective breakdown below 83,300, then the long-bias setup needs to be reassessed. If upward “needle” moves are followed by sustained pullbacks, that can be considered mildly bearish.
2、ETH
Others look at 3,500; my thinking references last year, the year before last, and the current action: Last year ETH hit a low at 1,384, then rose all the way to 2,850 before retracing to 2,100. After that, the bull run started. In the past few cycles, it’s been like this—before each launch, things need to be adjusted.
This round won’t directly pull in one go to 3,000 or 3,500. The market needs a deeper retracement first—flush out all heavily leveraged positions with exposure in the 2,500–2,700 zone—then the subsequent bull run will move more smoothly.
Focus on 2,150–2,250; that extreme area is the only place suited for heavy long bottom-picking.
The rallies in between are just consolidation bounces, not the main impulsive leg. Don’t heavily chase the bounce—wait patiently until the retracement comes in at the right level.
3、QNT
QNT, like ZEC and XRP, belongs to the same type of narrative asset, but the chart strength is clearly stronger.
My average cost is 280, and my position size is a bit large. Recently the daily chart has kept moving along the EMA5, which is providing valid support.
250 is the lifeline for longs. As long as 250 doesn’t break, the long logic remains intact.
The funding rate has gradually expanded from slightly negative to around -0.4. Shorts’ cost basis is rising, which is favorable for longs. The liquidation concentrated zone for shorts is 310–330; afterward, there’s a high probability it will test that area.
Fundamentals have continued to be positive; downside room is limited. In the short term, around 250 you can get on board, and at 248 you can add more, this time targeting the strong altcoin core.
4、LYN
The earlier sell-off pressure from LYN has basically been released.
Key observation range: 0.0245 ~ 0.026. If the market pulls back into this zone, that’s the opportunity to get in—you can go directly long. Prior low risk/loss
Big upside expectations, not exceeding 2x leverage
Pre-election Market Outlook: Big Bread Strategy
1、BTC
The big bread has repeatedly tried to break through the 87,300 level, striking it four or five times, but it still hasn’t managed an effective breakout. In the earlier attempts, good news would come out, it would spike up, then immediately reverse and fall—this is a signal to be cautious about. I already warned here about short-term risk three days ago.
But on the 4-hour timeframe, the market lows are still gradually rising; 83,300 is the key support of the upward trend, and it hasn’t been broken yet.
Right now it’s trading in a high-level box range, 83,300 — 87,300. With one month left until the election, price action will likely move back and forth during this period. Good news tends to spike and then retrace easily—don’t blindly chase.
Strategy: Hold 83,300 and the ranging structure stays the same. If there is an effective breakdown below 83,300, then the long-bias setup needs to be reassessed. If upward “needle” moves are followed by sustained pullbacks, that can be considered mildly bearish.
2、ETH
Others look at 3,500; my thinking references last year, the year before last, and the current action: Last year ETH hit a low at 1,384, then rose all the way to 2,850 before retracing to 2,100. After that, the bull run started. In the past few cycles, it’s been like this—before each launch, things need to be adjusted.
This round won’t directly pull in one go to 3,000 or 3,500. The market needs a deeper retracement first—flush out all heavily leveraged positions with exposure in the 2,500–2,700 zone—then the subsequent bull run will move more smoothly.
Focus on 2,150–2,250; that extreme area is the only place suited for heavy long bottom-picking.
The rallies in between are just consolidation bounces, not the main impulsive leg. Don’t heavily chase the bounce—wait patiently until the retracement comes in at the right level.
3、QNT
QNT, like ZEC and XRP, belongs to the same type of narrative asset, but the chart strength is clearly stronger.
My average cost is 280, and my position size is a bit large. Recently the daily chart has kept moving along the EMA5, which is providing valid support.
250 is the lifeline for longs. As long as 250 doesn’t break, the long logic remains intact.
The funding rate has gradually expanded from slightly negative to around -0.4. Shorts’ cost basis is rising, which is favorable for longs. The liquidation concentrated zone for shorts is 310–330; afterward, there’s a high probability it will test that area.
Fundamentals have continued to be positive; downside room is limited. In the short term, around 250 you can get on board, and at 248 you can add more, this time targeting the strong altcoin core.
4、LYN
The earlier sell-off pressure from LYN has basically been released.
Key observation range: 0.0245 ~ 0.026. If the market pulls back into this zone, that’s the opportunity to get in—you can go directly long. Prior low risk/loss
Big upside expectations, not exceeding 2x leverage