🚨 BTC $86,394，UNI is only 3.1% away from support | Rates break 4.5% — watch this today
On October 05, the environment is friendly but rates are a bit high. Let’s get to the point.
📊 BTC $86,394 (+1.9%)
Support $76,256 (weekly + daily · Level B) / Resistance $87,512
Second resistance after breakout: $89,724
Riding the resistance: if it holds the breakout, look for $89,724; if it can’t push through, first watch $76,256
SPX +0.7% / QQQ +1.0% | Moves are in sync
⛓️ Derivatives snapshot
Funding rate +0.0075% | Neutral
OI (open interest) +1.6% over 24h | Positioning changes moderately
Retail long/short ratio 1.02 | Large holders positioning 1.81
Active buy-side ratio 50%
🎯 Three key signals for today
1. VIX at 17 is normal —> sentiment is steady, trade normally
2. 10Y yield at 4.96% breaks above 4.5% —> tech stocks under pressure; QQQ mind your stop-loss
3. DXY at 109.2 is strong —> a stronger dollar suppresses risk assets
📌 Sharp take (to be validated with a late-night post tomorrow; agree or disagree either way):
Within the next 24 hours, BTC’s first test of $87,512 resistance will definitely lead to a pullback; if it holds directly above $+0.5%, then I’ll be wrong
💼 My plan | Risk 2.5/10 | Position 60–80%
• Position at 60–80%, but set stop-loss
• Add on pullbacks, don’t chase; prioritize QQQ/SOXX
🎯 Altcoin radar (180-day support model)
1️⃣ UNI $9.06 | Support $8.79; the trend is waiting for a pullback
If retest doesn’t break, watch $10.94 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $8.44, stop out and exit
2️⃣ JUP $0.3297 | Support $0.3169; the trend is waiting for a pullback
If retest doesn’t break, watch $0.375 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $0.3042, stop out and exit
3️⃣ LDO $0.4617 24h -1.3% | Support $0.425; the trend is waiting for a pullback
If retest doesn’t break, watch $0.5066 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $0.408, stop out and exit
⚠️ In a sideways period, alt positions ≤ 20%; each trade must include a stop-loss
👀 Watchlist
• Can the 10Y yield fall back below 4.3%?
• Can BTC $86,394 hold?
• Can DXY pull back?
If you find this useful, hit like 👍 Comment in the section if you have ideas
⚠️ Not investment advice｜Contract risk is your own
#BTC #UNI #JUP #LDO #altcoins
On October 05, the environment is friendly but rates are a bit high. Let’s get to the point.
📊 BTC $86,394 (+1.9%)
Support $76,256 (weekly + daily · Level B) / Resistance $87,512
Second resistance after breakout: $89,724
Riding the resistance: if it holds the breakout, look for $89,724; if it can’t push through, first watch $76,256
SPX +0.7% / QQQ +1.0% | Moves are in sync
⛓️ Derivatives snapshot
Funding rate +0.0075% | Neutral
OI (open interest) +1.6% over 24h | Positioning changes moderately
Retail long/short ratio 1.02 | Large holders positioning 1.81
Active buy-side ratio 50%
🎯 Three key signals for today
1. VIX at 17 is normal —> sentiment is steady, trade normally
2. 10Y yield at 4.96% breaks above 4.5% —> tech stocks under pressure; QQQ mind your stop-loss
3. DXY at 109.2 is strong —> a stronger dollar suppresses risk assets
📌 Sharp take (to be validated with a late-night post tomorrow; agree or disagree either way):
Within the next 24 hours, BTC’s first test of $87,512 resistance will definitely lead to a pullback; if it holds directly above $+0.5%, then I’ll be wrong
💼 My plan | Risk 2.5/10 | Position 60–80%
• Position at 60–80%, but set stop-loss
• Add on pullbacks, don’t chase; prioritize QQQ/SOXX
🎯 Altcoin radar (180-day support model)
1️⃣ UNI $9.06 | Support $8.79; the trend is waiting for a pullback
If retest doesn’t break, watch $10.94 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $8.44, stop out and exit
2️⃣ JUP $0.3297 | Support $0.3169; the trend is waiting for a pullback
If retest doesn’t break, watch $0.375 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $0.3042, stop out and exit
3️⃣ LDO $0.4617 24h -1.3% | Support $0.425; the trend is waiting for a pullback
If retest doesn’t break, watch $0.5066 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $0.408, stop out and exit
⚠️ In a sideways period, alt positions ≤ 20%; each trade must include a stop-loss
👀 Watchlist
• Can the 10Y yield fall back below 4.3%?
• Can BTC $86,394 hold?
• Can DXY pull back?
If you find this useful, hit like 👍 Comment in the section if you have ideas
⚠️ Not investment advice｜Contract risk is your own
#BTC #UNI #JUP #LDO #altcoins