10.4 Daily 【Jingyi · BTC Outlook for Next Week】
Key events next week: The Federal Reserve meeting minutes at 2:00 AM on October 8—this is the biggest variable. The market has just been driven weaker by the nonfarm payrolls, boosting rate-cut expectations. If the minutes are hawkish, the crypto market will likely face pressure; if they are dovish, there is room to push to higher levels again.
From a technical perspective: On the daily chart, price has held above 840. The high at 873 has not been broken. The MACD red histogram has narrowed and momentum is slowing—this indicates consolidation at elevated levels, not strong one-way continuation upward;
On the 4-hour chart, there has been a rebound and recovery from the 825 low, which is short-term bullish. However, there is clear resistance overhead in the 870–874 area. Support lies below at 844–840. Overall, the market still maintains a ranging/sideways structure. Consider selling on rebounds, and only look for longs after a pullback to key support—don’t chase the price up.
Trading Plan:
For BTC: Rebound into the 870–874 zone and look for short positions; if price pulls back to around 840 and holds, take light longs. If 840 breaks down, shift to bearish—don’t hold longs through a breakdown.
Be especially alert to the gap risk that could be triggered by the Fed meeting minutes, and use strict stop-losses.
$BTC $牛来 #比特币冲击8.7万美元遇阻回落
Key events next week: The Federal Reserve meeting minutes at 2:00 AM on October 8—this is the biggest variable. The market has just been driven weaker by the nonfarm payrolls, boosting rate-cut expectations. If the minutes are hawkish, the crypto market will likely face pressure; if they are dovish, there is room to push to higher levels again.
From a technical perspective: On the daily chart, price has held above 840. The high at 873 has not been broken. The MACD red histogram has narrowed and momentum is slowing—this indicates consolidation at elevated levels, not strong one-way continuation upward;
On the 4-hour chart, there has been a rebound and recovery from the 825 low, which is short-term bullish. However, there is clear resistance overhead in the 870–874 area. Support lies below at 844–840. Overall, the market still maintains a ranging/sideways structure. Consider selling on rebounds, and only look for longs after a pullback to key support—don’t chase the price up.
Trading Plan:
For BTC: Rebound into the 870–874 zone and look for short positions; if price pulls back to around 840 and holds, take light longs. If 840 breaks down, shift to bearish—don’t hold longs through a breakdown.
Be especially alert to the gap risk that could be triggered by the Fed meeting minutes, and use strict stop-losses.
$BTC $牛来 #比特币冲击8.7万美元遇阻回落
