【The cycle is not a fixed countdown】
Accumulation, rising, distribution, and decline are a framework for understanding market behavior—not a script that’s repeated exactly every round.
Price is influenced together by liquidity, demand, leverage, and the macro environment. Halving changes the pace of new supply, but it alone can’t determine the timing and magnitude of market moves.
When observing cycles, combine multiple indicators and their limitations: increased volume doesn’t necessarily mean accumulation, and a drop doesn’t necessarily mean the market has already bottomed. Different assets may be at different stages.
Use scenarios and risk budgets instead of “a guaranteed rise by a certain month” predictions.
#市场周期 #Crypto education
Accumulation, rising, distribution, and decline are a framework for understanding market behavior—not a script that’s repeated exactly every round.
Price is influenced together by liquidity, demand, leverage, and the macro environment. Halving changes the pace of new supply, but it alone can’t determine the timing and magnitude of market moves.
When observing cycles, combine multiple indicators and their limitations: increased volume doesn’t necessarily mean accumulation, and a drop doesn’t necessarily mean the market has already bottomed. Different assets may be at different stages.
Use scenarios and risk budgets instead of “a guaranteed rise by a certain month” predictions.
#市场周期 #Crypto education