#交易复盘 Between a period of significant profits
there will always be a period of pullbacks and wear-and-tear
Reflections and summary:
For mature full-time traders,
contracts are a very important tool for making money
But proactively reducing trading frequency
is also an important part
Even if many short-term entries look spot-on,
more likely it’s the so-called “technical feel”
accumulated from long-term experience
This is actually not a model system
for long-term, stable profitability
Even if you want to do it,
it can only be verified using stop-losses you don’t really care about;
it can’t be treated as a winning trade
Market movements always feature
a one-way trend after a period of consolidation
small oscillations and small one-way moves,
large oscillations and large one-way moves (not entirely)
And consolidation is a very complex process
You can’t risk a heavy position to bet on such a complex process
and get it right every time
Most of the time, the market is “garbage time” consolidation
You’re often trading heavily, often can’t sleep well
Often taking stop-outs and drawdowns that are too large
so you can’t eat well
Then your condition is bad, your principal is damaged,
so when the opportunity arrives, you don’t have enough ammo and courage
to seize it
So what you should do instead is
wait for high-probability opportunities within the system
win and take profit when you’re right; stop-loss when you’re wrong
don’t hold the position through drawdowns; don’t add to it
(except adding within the trading plan)
Identify well, take a heavy position, and hold
$BTC
there will always be a period of pullbacks and wear-and-tear
Reflections and summary:
For mature full-time traders,
contracts are a very important tool for making money
But proactively reducing trading frequency
is also an important part
Even if many short-term entries look spot-on,
more likely it’s the so-called “technical feel”
accumulated from long-term experience
This is actually not a model system
for long-term, stable profitability
Even if you want to do it,
it can only be verified using stop-losses you don’t really care about;
it can’t be treated as a winning trade
Market movements always feature
a one-way trend after a period of consolidation
small oscillations and small one-way moves,
large oscillations and large one-way moves (not entirely)
And consolidation is a very complex process
You can’t risk a heavy position to bet on such a complex process
and get it right every time
Most of the time, the market is “garbage time” consolidation
You’re often trading heavily, often can’t sleep well
Often taking stop-outs and drawdowns that are too large
so you can’t eat well
Then your condition is bad, your principal is damaged,
so when the opportunity arrives, you don’t have enough ammo and courage
to seize it
So what you should do instead is
wait for high-probability opportunities within the system
win and take profit when you’re right; stop-loss when you’re wrong
don’t hold the position through drawdowns; don’t add to it
(except adding within the trading plan)
Identify well, take a heavy position, and hold
$BTC