CNBC reported that $BTC saw a single “golden cross” — but not using the common 50-day/200-day moving averages; instead, it used a 30-day crossing above the 365-day. Jay Woods, chief strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, said this framework has only appeared 6 times in history. Three of those times corresponded with large bull-market moves of 5,789%, 645%, and 353%, while the other two short-lived signals rose 17.7% and 85.3% before turning around.
His logic is straightforward: since crypto assets don’t have true fundamentals, they’re driven purely by technicals, and long-cycle moving-average crossovers often show up near turning points in the four-year halving cycle. By his calculation, $BTC would need to rise 48% to return to the historical high of $126,000 in October 2025, which he expects to be visible in early 2027.
I tend to treat it as background noise rather than a signal: the sample size is only 6, and it also includes two failed cases, so the statistical significance is limited. What truly determines the outlook is the October rate decision and ETF inflows.
Do you look at moving averages when you trade? Do you buy into the 30/365 setup?
His logic is straightforward: since crypto assets don’t have true fundamentals, they’re driven purely by technicals, and long-cycle moving-average crossovers often show up near turning points in the four-year halving cycle. By his calculation, $BTC would need to rise 48% to return to the historical high of $126,000 in October 2025, which he expects to be visible in early 2027.
I tend to treat it as background noise rather than a signal: the sample size is only 6, and it also includes two failed cases, so the statistical significance is limited. What truly determines the outlook is the October rate decision and ETF inflows.
Do you look at moving averages when you trade? Do you buy into the 30/365 setup?