🚨 BTC $84,790, UNI only 3.5% away from support | Rates break 4.5%, pay attention to this today
Oct 04: Friendly environment, but rates are a bit high. Let’s get to the point.
📊 BTC $84,790 (+0.3%)
Support $74,629 (weekly + daily · Level B) / Resistance $85,999
Second resistance after breakout $87,399
Riding resistance: if the breakout holds and stays put, watch $87,399; if it can’t push through, look for a pullback first at $74,629
SPX +0.7% / QQQ +1.0% | Correlated and consistent
⛓️ Derivatives snapshot
Funding rate -0.0013%｜Neutral
OI 24h +0.0%｜Moderate position change
Retail long/short ratio 1.22｜Big players’ positioning 1.85
Active buy order share 50%
🎯 Three key signals today
1. VIX 17 normal -> Sentiment steady, trade normally
2. 10Y yield 4.96% breaks 4.5% -> Tech stocks under pressure; QQQ watch your stop-loss
3. DXY 109.2 strong -> Strong dollar suppresses risk assets
📌 Sharp take (confirm with tomorrow night’s post; correct or wrong, no matter):
Within the next 24 hours, BTC’s first touch of the $85,999 resistance will likely trigger a pullback; if it holds straight above and stays up +0.5%, then I’d be wrong
💼 My plan | Risk 2.5/10 | Position size 60-80%
• Position size 60-80%, but set stop-losses
• Buy on pullbacks, don’t chase; prefer QQQ/SOXX
🎯 Altcoin radar (180-day support model)
1️⃣ UNI $9.10 24h +1.6%｜Support $8.79, waiting for a pullback
If it retests without breaking, watch $10.94 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $8.44, cut and exit
2️⃣ JUP $0.3165｜Support $0.3043, waiting for a pullback
If it retests without breaking, watch $0.375 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $0.2921, cut and exit
3️⃣ LDO $0.4451 24h +1.5%｜Support $0.425, waiting for a pullback
If it retests without breaking, watch $0.5066 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $0.408, cut and exit
⚠️ In a sideways market, keep altcoin exposure ≤20%; each trade must include a stop-loss
👀 Watchlist
• Can the 10Y yield fall back below 4.3%?
• Can BTC $84,790 hold?
• Can DXY fall?
If you find this useful, hit like 👍 Comment with your thoughts
⚠️ Not investment advice｜Contract risks are your own responsibility
#BTC #UNI #JUP #LDO #altcoins
Oct 04: Friendly environment, but rates are a bit high. Let’s get to the point.
📊 BTC $84,790 (+0.3%)
Support $74,629 (weekly + daily · Level B) / Resistance $85,999
Second resistance after breakout $87,399
Riding resistance: if the breakout holds and stays put, watch $87,399; if it can’t push through, look for a pullback first at $74,629
SPX +0.7% / QQQ +1.0% | Correlated and consistent
⛓️ Derivatives snapshot
Funding rate -0.0013%｜Neutral
OI 24h +0.0%｜Moderate position change
Retail long/short ratio 1.22｜Big players’ positioning 1.85
Active buy order share 50%
🎯 Three key signals today
1. VIX 17 normal -> Sentiment steady, trade normally
2. 10Y yield 4.96% breaks 4.5% -> Tech stocks under pressure; QQQ watch your stop-loss
3. DXY 109.2 strong -> Strong dollar suppresses risk assets
📌 Sharp take (confirm with tomorrow night’s post; correct or wrong, no matter):
Within the next 24 hours, BTC’s first touch of the $85,999 resistance will likely trigger a pullback; if it holds straight above and stays up +0.5%, then I’d be wrong
💼 My plan | Risk 2.5/10 | Position size 60-80%
• Position size 60-80%, but set stop-losses
• Buy on pullbacks, don’t chase; prefer QQQ/SOXX
🎯 Altcoin radar (180-day support model)
1️⃣ UNI $9.10 24h +1.6%｜Support $8.79, waiting for a pullback
If it retests without breaking, watch $10.94 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $8.44, cut and exit
2️⃣ JUP $0.3165｜Support $0.3043, waiting for a pullback
If it retests without breaking, watch $0.375 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $0.2921, cut and exit
3️⃣ LDO $0.4451 24h +1.5%｜Support $0.425, waiting for a pullback
If it retests without breaking, watch $0.5066 (near 20-day high); if it breaks $0.408, cut and exit
⚠️ In a sideways market, keep altcoin exposure ≤20%; each trade must include a stop-loss
👀 Watchlist
• Can the 10Y yield fall back below 4.3%?
• Can BTC $84,790 hold?
• Can DXY fall?
If you find this useful, hit like 👍 Comment with your thoughts
⚠️ Not investment advice｜Contract risks are your own responsibility
#BTC #UNI #JUP #LDO #altcoins