【If ETH falls below $1500, who do you think will be the first to lose their nerve?】

Let me tell you, something especially interesting is happening in the L2 sector lately.

Blast has gone bankrupt.

Yes, that’s the L2 “star” that locked up over $2 billion back then—it’s now shutting down.

Its assets are down 98%; to put it bluntly, it’s bones and nothing left.

Many people are just watching the drama: “Oh, L2 is dead, ETH is finished.”

But I think this is much more interesting than you might think.

Have you considered this: what does an L2 shutting down have to do with ETH?

On the surface, it looks like “damage to the ETH ecosystem.” But dig deeper—why couldn’t Blast survive? Because what was it surviving on in the first place? High yields to attract capital, and subsidies used to smash TVL in place. This playbook has been seen since the 2017 ICO era, the 2019 DeFi era, and the various 2021 “Fi” waves—just the skin changes, the game repeats.

So if Blast dies, what does it show? It shows that the Ethereum mainnet already has enough vitality on its own, and that “artificial prosperity” fed by subsidies never should have existed.

Then why are ETF flows still seeing continuous outflows?

This is the key point. Institutions are trading—not because ETH’s technology isn’t good, but because their numbers don’t add up. In a high-interest-rate environment, risk-free yields are everywhere—who would be willing to wait for a narrative that might not explode until some unknown time? That hesitation is reasonable. But look at it from another angle: ETF outflows mean someone is selling, and it also means someone is buying. Who’s the one taking the other side? Guess.

Seriously, with the current market—trading volume is sluggish, and the market’s in a wait-and-see mood—ETH is sitting at $ 2680, stuck there like my own emotional state—just hanging in limbo.

But there’s one thing that’s true: historically, when you’re in the range of a 45% pullback from ATH, long-term capital tends to start paying attention. I’m not saying you should bottom-fish right now—just that this position has already entered the range worth serious study.

Remember this: one L2 dying doesn’t mean the ETH ecosystem is doomed. The real danger is—once everyone thinks L2 is cold, they turn around and chase the next “10,000x coin,” leaving the traps for the people who are still坚守 (sticking with it).

So what’s your mindset right now? Are your hands itching?