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🇨🇳 Oct 2｜Crypto Market Brief
$BNB
📈 BTC reclaims $86K, the second day of Q4 continues to rebound

BTC is currently around $86.3K, briefly nearing $86.9K during the day; ETH is around $2.76K, SOL around $122.

Overall, the market has warmed up. Since the beginning of October, BTC has risen by about 3%. However, Treasury yields are still high, the dollar is strengthening, and macro pressure has not disappeared.

🔥 ETF inflows return as the core support

In September, the US spot BTC ETF recorded net inflows of about $2.65B, the second-strongest monthly performance since October 2025; ETH spot ETFs saw net inflows of about $832M in the same period.

On Oct 1, BTC ETFs again logged around $102.7M in net inflows, with the funds mainly flowing to BlackRock’s IBIT.

🏦 SEC: New framework for institutional crypto custody

The market is continuing to digest the SEC’s Crypto Custody proposal released yesterday.

Under the new scheme, qualified investment advisers and regulated funds may, under certain circumstances, self-custody crypto assets, and state-level trust companies may also be used as custodians.

However, note that this is still a Proposal—not the final rules. After the formal release, there will be a 60-day public comment period.

💰 Citi raises its BTC target to $113K

Citi raised its 12-month BTC target from $82K to $113K, and its ETH target from $2,240 to $3,028.

The report attributes the forecast adjustments mainly to ETF capital returning, higher activity in the crypto market, and an improving macro environment.

This is an institutional view, not a price guarantee.

⚡ The real test today: US Non-Farm Payrolls

US September NFP employment data will be released today.

The market previously expected an increase of about 90K jobs, with the unemployment rate staying at 4.1%. The employment report will directly affect how the market assesses the Fed’s interest-rate path for October.

Meanwhile, Core Lightning reminds users running older versions of nodes to upgrade as soon as possible—unupdated nodes are increasingly becoming targets of attacks.

📊 Market Snapshot

BTC ≈ $86.3K
ETH ≈ $2.76K
SOL ≈ $122
XRP ≈ $1.53
BTC Dominance ≈ 57%
Fear & Greed ≈ 72
Market Cap ≈ $2.99T

🎯 On Day 2 of Q4, the market’s logic is changing:

ETF inflows are back in, the institutional regulatory framework continues to move forward, BTC has reclaimed $86K,

But what will truly determine today’s行情 is still US employment data.

If Non-Farm Payrolls give the market more room for rate cuts, $87K will become the key level again.

Today, don’t listen to the story.

Look at the data.

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🚨 Whales’ funds show a major divergence!
BTC was sold off by 30,000 coins over the past week; ETH, however, saw net accumulation of 60,000 coins; while XRP just stood still!
The market has been moving sideways, but whales have already begun quietly adjusting their positions!
Crypto analyst Ali, citing Santiment data, points out that over the past week, the whale holdings of the three major assets—BTC, ETH, and XRP—have shown clear divergence.
This dataset may be revealing new changes in how market funds are being allocated.🐋

📊 What are whales doing with the three major coins?
🟠 BTC: whales reduced holdings by about 30,000 coins
Over the past week, Bitcoin whale holdings decreased by roughly 30,000 BTC, worth about $2.52 billion.
🔵 ETH: net accumulation of about 60,000 coins
In sharp contrast to BTC, during the sideways trading period, Ethereum whales cumulatively added around 60,000 ETH, worth about $162 million.
🟢 XRP: approx. 3.9 billion coins held remains stable
Compared with BTC’s reduction and ETH’s accumulation, XRP whales have been relatively calm.
Currently, overall whale holdings remain at around 3.9 billion XRP, with no obvious signs of rebalancing for now.

The most worth studying in this data isn’t which asset is being bought or sold, but the differences in whale behavior across different assets.
📉 BTC: whales reduced holdings in stages—watch whether sell pressure can be absorbed by the market.
📈 ETH: whales accumulated against the tide—monitor whether funds keep flowing in, and whether on-chain activity can align.
⏸️ XRP: holdings are relatively stable—next, we need to wait for a clearer direction of capital.
When the overall market is range-bound, and large addresses’ holding behavior diverges, on-chain data can help us observe the market structure in more detail.
#比特币冲击8.7万美元遇阻回落
$BTC

$ETH

$BNB

$BNB Here’s a basic overview of the crypto market for everyone:

1. If you want to control risk as much as possible and achieve stable profits in the crypto world, first focus on the top-cap coins. The core is to choose from BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB.
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2. After selecting the target, assess the trend of the long-term (major) cycle and hold long term. One major cycle often takes 2–3 years, with expected returns of about 3–5x.
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3. After you understand the 2–3-year major cycle, if you want to further amplify returns, you can learn basic candlestick patterns, or refer to the thinking of experienced traders. Then, within the major cycle, do mid-level swing trades to boost the original 3–5x行情 to 5–10x.
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4. When you confirm that the major cycle outlook is favorable, you can use a small position to allocate to potential “sector-leading” coins, aiming for 10x or more returns.
​
5. Key point: When the major cycle is nearing its end, take profit in a timely manner. Lock in gains and protect your profits to avoid them being given back significantly.

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$BTC Keep going, soaring hard, falling hard too. The bull market has already started—the main rally in the crypto world is just one last step away! Today, Bitcoin is again hovering near the previous high of around 87,000. Once it truly breaks through, it could very likely come with a big bullish candle! So the question is: will Bitcoin break out? Leave your valuable advice in the comments section! Tap that little hand of yours that’s about to get rich—give it a like! #比特币冲击8.7万美元遇阻回落