The NFP came in favorably and the market absorbed the news. After a modest rebound in BTC price action, it quickly drew the barrier and sold—using the favorable data as it was already being priced in. In the morning, it had already started rising, so when the news finally “landed,” it turned into large-scale buying that was actually just for cashing out at higher levels—leading to the sell-off. And those who were aggressively long and got liquidated: they saw the favorable news and rushed upward in a frenzy. Then the drawn barrier taught them a hard lesson. The market is simply that ruthless—yet that’s also its charm. It won’t rise forever, and it won’t fall forever either. It keeps rotating continuously between up and down, leaving you with endless room to imagine…
The low-long strategy on this journey has never changed in the slightest. Earlier, 57,700 was a double bottom. Yes, I missed the opportunity to buy the very bottom. Later on, I adjusted in time. Before the rate hike was even settled, I kept emphasizing that as long as the market hadn’t effectively broken below 75,000, it would still be strong—so the long-side structure was not damaged. The rate hike was also consumed early. One day ahead, it pulled back to 74,900, and on the night of the rate hike, I decisively went long around 75,000. I’m still holding it for now. This Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data was also digested early. Recently, I’ve been building longs step by step from 84,000 to 83,500 to 83,000 to 82,500. If you’re trading short-term, you should manage it yourself to decide how to handle it. Both long and short have opportunities. If you’re holding long-term, reduce exposure in batches, then add again on the dip. Stay flexible. Aim to hold until 96,000—nothing changes! For ETH, take it to 3,300. Treasure the chance of a pullback. “Pulling in the car” (buying on the reversal) doesn’t happen every day. Going low and going long is always better than chasing longs—it’s more cost-effective. Treasure these low entry-price levels!
On the daily (日K), you can clearly see that this week’s 5 and the candlesticks’ pullback lows are being gradually lifted. You can also see the rebound highs: from the previous 74500 resistance, then later 75000 strong resistance, and then 77200 resistance—each time it’s been probed step by step. Even though the Non-Farm data “painted a door” and dropped by 3400 points, where did the low actually end up? The lowest was only around 83800. Previously the low pulled back to around 82500. This time the pullback strength is clearly weakening.
JULIA’s Bollinger Bands three tracks are all pointing upward, opening wider and lifting higher. The preceding KDJ and RSI have also started to turn down, which gives the impression of a potential “bait short” setup. Now we’ve fully exposed it—no more pretending. Everything has turned upward already. On the weekly (周K) timeframe: price is pressing against the upper band while continuously widening and lifting higher, meaning the upper band has no room left. Some sell-offs and pullbacks have appeared—just a reset/repair. Don’t mistake a pullback for a reversal! The weekly longs remain strong. The monthly (月K) has three consecutive bullish days, and the current price is also tightly pressing the middle band while widening upward. Again, it’s only that the space hasn’t opened yet. So it won’t move up too much only because everything is being held down by compression—space hasn’t opened yet!
No matter how you update, there will always be people with opinions who complain and spew. If someone doesn’t understand, ask questions—if you write the range so wide, you can definitely guess right. Is it because they don’t have eyes or they didn’t bring brains when they went out? The support below is exactly those levels—what am I supposed to do? Didn’t I give price orders at the current price earlier? Don’t always think in terms of scalping and paying fees. Look at the article analysis and the logic: it was stated as a swing (波段) long—yet it never said to go in and then just ignore everything after that. When you’re in profit, you should reduce positions in batches. If there’s a drawdown, you go back and pick up again at lower levels. Are the daily articles, the analysis, and the way of thinking not clear enough? Most “grass” (newbies) only want to buy wherever it’s likely to go up or sell wherever it’s likely to go down—they never care about the logic behind it. That’s why anyone can open a livestream and shout with one mouthful—there will always be someone buying the ticket.
BTC support below 83500-82500. Next, 80500 is the extreme level—only needle-like spikes might reach it. Go long around these areas. For rebounds, watch resistance at 85500-87500-90000. For swing longs, look at 96000!
ETH support below 2650-2600-2500. The longs should build positions in batches based on these levels. Targets: 2750-2850-3000, with a swing target of 3300.
Articles always only provide ideas and ranges. What you need to look at is the logic: why go long—are we talking about a low-entry long or chasing the breakout? The support levels given are for you to go observe when price reaches those areas—whether lower timeframes show signs of a stop to the sell-off. If you just pin your hope on making money through one article, one analysis, or one call, then going to Macau is actually more comfortable. Forget about giving away money—how amazing is the spa there? Always have your own logic, viewpoints, and judgment. Otherwise, how does anyone else’s thinking relate to you? #比特币冲击8.7万美元遇阻回落 $BTC
