500-Day Rule: the rhythm before and after halving—two 500-day periods
The 500-Day Rule has had a relatively high hit rate in history.
In the last cycle, buying in the first 500 days before the halving and selling in the next 500 days after it corresponds to the period from November 2022 to September 2025, when BTC rose from around 16,000 all the way to over 126,000.
Looking further back, from 2016 to 2017 and from 2019 to 2021, using the same rhythm, you also captured the bulk of the main upswings.
Of course, it isn’t a magic formula, but its advantage lies in being simple and actionable: don’t chase short-term noise—place your position at the two ends of the cycle.
#BTC #cycle
The 500-Day Rule has had a relatively high hit rate in history.
In the last cycle, buying in the first 500 days before the halving and selling in the next 500 days after it corresponds to the period from November 2022 to September 2025, when BTC rose from around 16,000 all the way to over 126,000.
Looking further back, from 2016 to 2017 and from 2019 to 2021, using the same rhythm, you also captured the bulk of the main upswings.
Of course, it isn’t a magic formula, but its advantage lies in being simple and actionable: don’t chase short-term noise—place your position at the two ends of the cycle.
#BTC #cycle